* U.S. Treasury yields rise to one-year peaks; JGB yields scale record highs. * Renewed tensions in Middle East keep investors worried about inflation, growth risks. * Japan likely to issue fresh debt to deal with blow from Iran war. * Investors ramp up bets of global rate hikes. By Rae Wee.
* Companies face higher costs, supply disruptions, and operational changes. * Airlines, automakers, and other companies warn of profit hits. * Extra costs not yet showing up in earnings, analysts say. * Europe and Asia most affected by oil-price surge. By Medha Singh, Deborah Mary Sophia and Bernadette Hogg.
* Tier-one cities see price rise, smaller cities and developers struggle. * Government incentives, state-backed purchases aim to stabilise market. By Liangping Gao, Yukun Zhang and Ryan Woo.
Bonds from Tokyo to New York extended losses on Monday as rising energy prices from the ongoing Middle East war fanned inflation fears and stoked investor wagers on rate hikes from global central banks. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, jumped to their highest since February 2025 at 4.631%, having climbed more than 20 basis points last week.
China's growth lost momentum in April, with industrial output cooling and retail sales sinking to over three-year lows as the world's second-biggest economy wrestled with higher energy costs from the Iran war and persistently weak domestic demand.
* China's April industrial output growth slowest since July 2023. * Consumer demand stays weak, as retail sales rise just 0.2% * Beijing unlikely to add immediate stimulus, economist says. * Trump visit to China eases trade tensions but produces few surprises.
China's industrial output grew 4.1% in April from a year earlier, slowing from the 5.7% pace in March, official data showed on Monday. The data released by the National Bureau of Statistics missed expectations for a 5.9% increase in a Reuters poll.
China's new home prices extended their decline in April, but fell at the slowest monthly pace in a year, official data showed on Monday, offering an early sign of improvement even as housing demand remained subdued despite efforts by cities across the country to boost sales and shore up sentiment.
Gold prices fell on Monday to their
lowest point in more than a month, as Middle East tensions
pushed oil prices higher, fuelling inflation fears and
reinforcing expectations of higher-for-longer ...
Japanese government bond yields surged on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield reaching levels last seen in October 1996, extending a global debt selloff as pressure mounts on central banks to raise rates to contain inflation. The yield on the 10-year JGB climbed 7.5 basis points to 2.775%, after earlier touching an intraday high of 2.800%, a level last seen in October 1996.
G7 finance ministers gathering in Paris on Monday will try to find common ground on tackling global economic tensions and coordinating critical raw material supplies, even as geopolitical differences threaten to test the group's cohesion.
G7 finance ministers gathering in Paris on Monday will try to find common ground on tackling global economic tensions and coordinating critical raw material supplies, even as geopolitical differences threaten to test the group's cohesion.
Gold price continued its downward trend and is about to flash a death cross pattern as inflation jumps and top ETF outflows continued. American investors are dumping their gold ETF assets. These outflows have increased as odds that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates ease.
The Federal Reserve Board on Friday said it has named Jerome Powell as chair pro tempore until Kevin Warsh is sworn in as the new head of the U.S. central bank. * Warsh is expected to be sworn in soon by U.S. President Donald Trump but no date has been announced. * Powell's eight-year run as Fed leader formally expired on Friday.
The Federal Reserve Board on Friday said it has named Jerome Powell as chair pro tempore until Kevin Warsh is sworn in as the new head of the U.S. central bank. -- Warsh is expected to be sworn in soon by U.S. President Donald Trump but no date has been announced. -- Powell's eight-year run as Fed leader formally expired on Friday.
The Federal Reserve Board on Friday said it has named Jerome Powell as chair pro tempore until Kevin Warsh is sworn in as the new head of the U.S. central bank.
The Federal Reserve Board on Friday said it has named Jerome Powell as chair pro tempore until Kevin Warsh is sworn in as the new head of the U.S. central bank.
Rate hikes appear to be more realistic following this week's hotter-than-expected consumer price index and producer price index data, said Kevin McGuigan, director at Municipal Market Analytics.
US annual consumer inflation is expected to reach 6% in the ongoing quarter and remain above 2% in the long term, a poll of economists by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia showed Friday. The headline consumer price index is expected to average 6% in the second quarter, according to the Fed branch's latest quarterly Survey of Professional Forecasters.
The near-vertical AI-driven rally that pushed Wall Street to record highs ? one of the fastest and most powerful snapback advances in modern market history ? finally collided with a new reality this week: inflation is reaccelerating, and the bond market is beginning to price in the risk of another Federal Reserve rate hike.
RBC Capital Markets said Tuesday's April CPI report will be the highlight for next week, with the headline print likely to accelerate while broader price pressures should remain contained. In its CAD Weekly Soundbites report, RBC said it and consensus expect April CPI to rise 3.1% year-over-year, compared with 2.4% previously, as headline price pressures should escalate from higher energy costs.
US industrial production rebounded more than projected in April, buoyed the manufacturing and utilities categories, Federal Reserve data showed Friday. Industrial output rose 0.7% last month following a revised 0.3% drop in March, the Fed said.
The Federal Reserve said Friday it has terminated its enforcement actions with UBS Group (UBS), Credit Suisse and their subsidiaries. UBS declined to comment to MT Newswires. Price: 45.46, Change: -0.89, Percent Change: -1.92. MT Newswires does not provide investment advice.
The Federal Reserve said Friday it has terminated its enforcement actions with UBS Group (UBS), Credit Suisse and their subsidiaries. UBS didn't immediately reply to a request for comment from MT Newswires. Price: 45.64, Change: -0.72, Percent Change: -1.54. MT Newswires does not provide investment advice.
National Bank of Canada on Thursday reiterated its sector-perform rating on the shares of Lithium Americas (LAC) and lowered its price target to C$7.25 from C$7.50 following the company's first-quarter results.
* Inflationary pressures fuel rate hike expectations. * Rising US Treasury yields and inflation fears drive dollar strength. * Fed's Williams does not see need to change rate policy. By Chuck Mikolajczak.
National Bank of Canada on Thursday increased Northland Power's price target to C$28 from $27 with an outperform rating. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of C$427 million in the first quarter, below the bank's forecast of $454 million but in line with the consensus forecast of $424 million.
New York manufacturing activity grew at the fastest pace in more than four years this month amid robust new orders, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported Friday. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey's general business conditions index climbed to 19.6 in May, the highest reading since April 2022, from 11 last month, the Fed branch said.
U.S. factory production posted its largest increase in 14 months in April, driven by motor vehicles and demand for technology goods amid an artificial intelligence spending boom, but supply disruptions from the war with Iran cast a shadow over the manufacturing sector.
XRP could be preparing for a "macro wave three" breakout if Bitcoin confirms a move above key resistance near the $94,000 region. In a May 14 podcast, trader Cryptoinsightuk tied his bullish thesis to a combination of macro catalysts, including ongoing crypto regulation efforts, improving U.S.-China relations and shifting Federal Reserve leadership expectations.
After a run of hotter-than-expected inflation data this week, investors on Friday ramped up bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will shift into interest-rate hiking mode perhaps before the year is out, presenting a potential policy dilemma out of the starting gate for incoming central bank leader Kevin Warsh.
Interest rate futures prices fell sharply on Friday, reflecting a growing conviction among bond market investors that stiff inflation will push the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates late this year or in early 2027.
Canadian existing home sales came in line with expectations of a 0.7% month-over-month uptick in April, following a 0.1% dip in March, noted Rosenberg Research. This was the first monthly gain since last October, and took the level back to 35,600 units -- a three-month high, noted Rosenberg Research.
The total monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for all areas in Canada increased 17% in April to 279,317 units compared with March, said the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation on Friday. April's increase was better than the 245,000 consensus figure provided by MUFG.
Canadian housing starts rose more than expected in April, increasing 17% from the previous month, data from the national housing agency showed on Friday. The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts increased to 279,317 units from a revised 239,747 units in March, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation said.
* Inflationary pressures fuel rate hike expectations. * Trump-Xi summit gives markets little to cheer. * Yen struggles at 158 level; turmoil weighs on sterling. By Samuel Indyk and Rae Wee. The dollar was a touch higher and heading for its biggest weekly gain in more than two months, as mounting inflationary pressures from higher energy prices fuelled bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this year.
Canada will publish the April housing starts at 8:15 a.m. ET on Friday, said Bank of Montreal. The starts look to "tick up" to around 240,000 annualized units, according to the bank. BMO noted CMHC is looking into collecting additional data -- including building permits and more insight into the pre-construction world -- so the bank awaits more details on that front.
The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday ahead of the New York Federal Reserve's Empire State manufacturing reading for May at 8:30 am ET and industrial production data for April at 9:15 am ET. The St. Louis Fed is expected to update its GDP nowcast estimate for Q1 around midday.
Incoming Federal Reserve chief Kevin Warsh's plans to shrink the U.S. central bank's "footprint" in financial markets could be constrained by rising federal debt and the potentially lost luster of U.S. Treasuries, analysts said, with rising long-term interest rates a sign of the challenge awaiting the new Fed chair.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's immediate predecessors knew how to "go big" in a crisis, steer a committee towards an interest rate decision, and oversee changes in central bank strategy, all parts of the job that the lawyer and former private equity investor also had to learn.
Societe Generale in its early Friday economic news summary pointed out: -- Risk off as United States Treasury yields accelerate, OIS pricing 80% chance of Federal Reserve rate hike by December. -- Federal Reserve's Williams: no need to raise or cut rates now, policy in a good place. -- Day ahead: U.S. industrial production.
The U.S. dollar is headed for its strongest weekly performance in more than two months on Friday as Treasury yields climbed and traders scaled back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The U.S. Dollar Index rose to 99.15 at 4:12 a.m. ET, gaining about 1.3% for the week. UUP is among the biggest beneficiaries of the rising dollar.
Japanese government bond yields climbed across the curve on Friday, with several tenors reaching record highs on rising bets for Bank of Japan interest rate hikes amid building inflationary pressures. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose as much as 10 basis points to 2.73%, the highest level since May 1997.
The carry trade, where investors buy high-yielding major currencies and sell low-yielding ones, is having its best run in years, even with major risk-driven moves in global markets. This reflects a combination of low currency volatility, large gaps between interest rates in developed economies and the yen not getting a safe-haven lift from the Iran war.
The Bank of Japan will raise its key interest rate to 1.0% in June, nearly two-thirds of economists said in a Reuters poll, as it presses ahead with efforts to normalise monetary policy amid rising inflation concerns from the war in Iran.
Japan may face another round of broad-based price increases around summer, as firms ranging from food makers to hot spring facilities consider passing on soaring energy costs from the Middle East conflict, the central bank said on Friday.
Japan's economy is expected to have grown for a second quarter in January-March, supported by recovering exports and solid domestic demand, although the full impact of the Iran war had yet to be felt, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
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