Japan bond yields climb to 1996 levels as inflation spurs rate-hike bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 08:52 PM EDT

By Rocky Swift

TOKYO, May 18 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields surged on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield reaching levels last seen in October 1996, extending a global debt selloff as pressure mounts on central banks to raise rates to contain inflation.

The yield on the 10-year JGB climbed 7.5 basis points (bps) to 2.775%, after earlier touching an intraday high of 2.800%, a level last seen in October 1996.

The yield on the five-year note added 3.5 bps to 2.020%, and reached an intraday record of 2.025%.

Yields move inversely to bond prices.

JGB yields tracked a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields, which jumped to their highest point in a year on Friday as a spike in oil prices tied to Middle East disruptions stoked inflation fears. Yields on Italian and German government bonds also surged.

Markets increasingly expect the Bank of Japan to hike its key rate at its June meeting, following a hawkish hold in April. Reports the government is looking to compile an extra budget to tackle rising fuel costs have renewed concerns about Japan's finances, adding to upward pressure on JGB yields.

"Since upward pressure on yields is spreading from JGBs and UK gilts to Treasuries and eurozone bonds, attention is focused on whether policymakers in various countries will take action to curb rising rates," Ataru Okumura, a senior rate strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities, said in a note.

"The rise in (Japanese) yields accelerated around the middle of last week following reports of a supplementary budget, but given that the scale remains unclear at this stage, the JGB market's reaction is clearly excessive," Okumura said.

The yield on the 20-year JGB advanced 9.5 bps to 3.735%, the highest since August 1996, according to data from Japan Bond Trading Company.

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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