Japanese bond yields hit record highs as rate-hike bets firm

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 01:55 AM EDT

TOKYO, May 15 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields climbed across the curve on Friday, with several tenors reaching record highs on rising bets for Bank of Japan interest rate hikes amid building inflationary pressures.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose as much as 10 basis points (bps) to 2.73%, the highest level since May 1997. The yields on five-year notes and 20-year bonds touched all-time peaks of 2.00% and 3.615%, respectively. Yields move inversely to bond prices.

JGB yields extended their climb after official data showed wholesale inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, bolstering expectations the central bank will tighten policy at its next meeting in June.

Japanese yields also got a boost from a jump in U.S. Treasury yields, which hit 11-month highs as traders wagered the Federal Reserve will need to tighten policy, with the protracted conflict in the Middle East keeping oil prices well above $100 a barrel and fanning inflation worries across the globe.

"Barring a large-scale cessation of economic activity due to Iran war-related supply constraints becoming a real possibility, we continue to see a high likelihood that the Bank of Japan will implement a rate hike at the June meeting," said Noriatsu Tanji, chief bond strategist at Mizuho Securities, pointing to a hawkish shift in recent comments from central bank policymakers.

Tokyo Tanshi interest rate swaps data on Friday indicated a 78% chance of a quarter-point hike on June 16.

Japan's two-year yields, which tend to be the most sensitive to monetary policy expectations, rose as much as 2 bps to 1.415%, the highest since May 1995.

The 30-year yield touched 3.925%, matching a record high from Thursday. (Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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