Canadian stock index futures rose on Tuesday, as higher commodity prices and easing geopolitical tensions put the main benchmark on track for a strong quarterly performance. * Optimism around AI and signs of a resilient global economy despite several headwinds have supported global stock markets this year.
The Federal Reserve's rebuild of money market liquidity is pointing to a quiet turn of the quarter, market participants say, as ample central bank cash depresses the volatility that often emerges around such calendar dates.
* Futures up: Dow 0.13%, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 0.04% each. Wall Street futures were largely unchanged early on Tuesday, as investors took a breather in the final trading session of a quarter that saw equities post the biggest gains in years. A slew of economic data, including the JOLTS job openings report and the Conference Board's consumer confidence index, would be in focus later in the day.
* Gold, silver set for biggest quarterly drop since 2013. * Silver set for sharpest monthly loss since September 2011. * Platinum set for worst month since 2008, quarter since Jan 2020. * US ADP employment and nonfarm payroll data due later this week. By Sumit Saha.
The U.S. stock market faces a gauntlet of tests to keep its rally going in the second half of 2026, from the sustainability of AI spending to a high corporate earnings bar and the outlook for interest rates under a Federal Reserve with a new chairman.
The Supreme Court may have reaffirmed the U.S. Federal Reserve's independence, but in a pair of rulings also left the central bank isolated as possibly the last agency able to wield executive power based on expertise free of the threat of its officials being fired by the president.
* Supreme Court rejects Trump's bid to fire Fed's Lisa Cook. * It says firing Fed governor requires a substantial hurdle. * Ruling notes Fed's unique public-private structure. * Second ruling frees a president's hands in agency firings. By Howard Schneider.
* Massive AI capital spending a critical theme for rest of year. * Investors banking on strong US corporate earnings. * Fed rate decisions, midterm elections also loom. By Lewis Krauskopf.
* Fed's reserve management buying appears to be calming money markets. * Quarter-end expected to be quiet at Fed facilities, traders say. * Unclear when Fed's liquidity-bolstering Treasury bill buying will end. By Michael S. Derby.
* Gold, silver set for biggest quarterly drop since 2013. * Silver set for sharpest monthly loss since September 2011. * Platinum set for worst month since 2008, quarter since Jan 2020. * US ADP employment and nonfarm payroll data due later this week. By Pablo Sinha.
Political pressure on the Bank of Japan to slow its interest rate hikes is growing amid a push by Sanae Takaichi's government to restore dovish policymakers to the bank, a shake-up that could change its long-term policy direction.
Absa Group Ltd: * VOLUNTARY TRADING UPDATE FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDING 30 JUNE 2026. * EXPECTS REVENUE TO GROW BY LOW TO MID-SINGLE DIGITS IN 1H26. * EXPECTS HEADLINE EARNINGS TO GROW MID- TO HIGH SINGLE DIGITS IN 1H26. * OPERATING ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CHALLENGING AND UNCERTAIN. * MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT INCREASED GLOBAL INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AND DAMPENED GDP GROWTH.
* Ralph Lauren (RL) reported a 50% sales jump in China last quarter. * The company operates around 250 stores in China. * Analysts say shoppers shifted from top-tier luxury to brands offering stronger value. * Executives say China momentum reflects a multi-year brand overhaul, not a short-term rebound. By Casey Hall.
More of the world's central banks plan to cut dollar allocations than increase them in the coming decade as political risks associated with the U.S. currency rise, an OMFIF survey of public investors released on Tuesday showed. It is the first time the survey, carried out by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, has found such a shift away from the dollar.
* Central banks are expected to decrease U.S. dollar holdings over next decade, survey shows. * Gold holdings by central banks have increased. * Two-thirds of central banks surveyed plan to increase AI integration. By Libby George.
* Gold, silver set for biggest quarterly drop since 2013. * Silver set for sharpest monthly loss since September 2011. * Platinum set for worst month since 2008, quarter since Jan 2020. * US ADP employment report and NFP data due later this week. By Pablo Sinha.
The unexpectedly rapid retreat in energy prices in the past week has further taken pressure off European Central Bank policymakers to lift interest rates next month but the case for a small hike later on remains firm, four sources told Reuters.
Copper drifted on Tuesday, as traders held back ahead of possible U.S. tariffs, while a firm dollar countered an expansion in China's factory activity. The benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.37% to $13,327.50 a metric ton by 0326 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange slipped 0.10% to 102,520 yuan a ton.
China's central bank ramped up liquidity injections on Tuesday, doubling the amount of cash supplied through overnight reverse repos as seasonal month-end demand intensified. The People's Bank of China offered 600 billion yuan to financial institutions through the overnight reverse repos in open market operations on Tuesday, it said in an online statement, without disclosing the borrowing cost.
* China's official manufacturing PMI returns to expansion in June. * New export orders turn positive, factory gate prices slip. * Non-manufacturing PMI improves to 50.2 from 50.1 in May. By Joe Cash.
China's non-manufacturing activity expanded for a second month in June, an official survey showed on Tuesday. The non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index, which includes services and construction, rose to 50.2 from 50.1 in May, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.
China's central bank conducted overnight reverse repo operations again on Tuesday, offering 600 billion yuan to financial institutions, it said in an online statement, without disclosing the borrowing cost. The People's Bank of China also said it injected 69.5 billion yuan through seven-day reverse repos, with the rate unchanged at 1.4%, according to the statement.
Gold fell over 1% on Tuesday and was set
for a fourth straight monthly decline, as uncertainty in the
Middle East gave way to expectations of U.S. interest rate hikes
to tame inflation.
Collins Foods (CLLFF), operator of KFC (YUM) restaurants in Australia, reported a decline in same-store sales in its European operations in the early part of fiscal 2027 on Tuesday, due to a heatwave that disrupted consumer sentiment, reversing early gains in its shares.
Japan's factory output rose at a slower-than-expected pace in May from the previous month, government data showed on Tuesday. Here are a few details. -- Industrial output grew 0.5% in May from the previous month, versus the median market forecast for a 1.1% rise, according to the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.
Japan's factory output rose 0.5% in May from the previous month, versus the median market forecast for a 1.1% rise, government data showed on Tuesday. Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry expect seasonally adjusted output to increase 3.7% in June and stay flat in July.
U.S. stocks followed their world counterparts higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq snapping five-day losing streaks and the blue-chip Dow notching an all-time closing high as the U.S. and Iran halted attacks and took steps toward de-escalation. I will go into more detail on today's market moves below.
The Toronto Stock Exchange dropped on Monday as losses in telecom, industrial and utility stocks outweighed gains in healthcare and financials, while investors look ahead to a busy week of economic data, including Canada's April GDP report. The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed down 156.18 points, or 0.45%, to 34,823.82, with a majority of sectors ending lower.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration on Monday selected Eli Lilly (LLY), Regeneron and five other companies for a pilot program to accelerate reviews of new domestic pharmaceutical manufacturing facilities.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has selected Eli Lilly (LLY) and Regeneron, among seven companies, for a pilot program to accelerate reviews of new domestic pharmaceutical manufacturing facilities, CNBC reported on Monday citing an FDA spokesperson.
* Supreme Court thwarts Trump effort to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. * Cook says victory affirms central bank's independence. * Trump claims he will continue to fight to fire Cook. By Michael S. Derby. Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said the U.S. Supreme Court's decision on Monday to block President Donald Trump's attempted firing of her defended the central bank's independence.
* US Supreme Court blocks Trump's effort to fire Cook from board seat. * Legal case is key to future presidential influence over Fed. * Warsh to join ECB, BOE and Bank of Canada leaders at conference in Portugal. By Howard Schneider.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) said Monday it plans to launch economic indicator futures contracts tied to global monetary policy decisions and US natural gas storage reports. The cash-settled contracts are scheduled to debut on Aug. 10, subject to regulatory approvals, the company said.
Emerging as a Regional Model for Integrated Destination Development. MUSCAT, Oman?, June 29, 2026 ?Al Mouj Muscat, Oman's flagship integrated tourism destination, has unveiled the findings of an independent impact study showing it has contributed approximately USD 2.3 billion to the Sultanate's GDP over the past two decades.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said the U.S. Supreme Court's decision on Monday to block President Donald Trump's attempted firing of her defended the central bank's independence. The 5-4 ruling by the nation's highest court "recognizes that Federal Reserve independence is essential to fulfilling the congressional mandate of price stability and maximum employment," Cook said in a statement.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said following a Supreme Court decision on Monday that thwarted her attempted firing by President Donald Trump that the ruling defends central bank independence.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook was the first U.S. central banker to be targeted for firing by any president. The daughter of a nursing professor mother and hospital chaplain father, Cook and her sisters were among the first Black students to desegregate the schools they attended in rural Milledgeville, Georgia.
* Supreme Court rejects Trump's attempt to fire Cook. * Trump was first president to try to fire a Fed official. * Biden appointee Cook was Fed's first Black female governor. * Trump appointee made unproven mortgage fraud allegations. * Cook has emerged as a hawkish voice at the central bank. By Ann Saphir.
The U.S. Supreme Court refused on Monday to let Donald Trump fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook as it stood firm to preserve the central bank's cherished independence against an unprecedented challenge by the Republican president.
The U.S. Supreme Court refused on Monday to let Donald Trump fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook as it stood firm to preserve the central bank's cherished independence against an unprecedented challenge by the Republican president. The court, in a 5-4 ruling, blocked Trump's bid to become the first president to remove a Fed official since Congress created the central bank in 1913.
Statistics Canada's preliminary estimate for May GDP is expected to show another monthly gain after an advance estimate pointed to 0.4% month-over-month growth in April, Scotiabank said in a note. "As for May's preliminary estimate, I'm tracking another gain based on more limited readings.
* Treasury data showed total spending reached 19.6% of GDP in the 12 months through May. * May's primary deficit rose 26.3% from a year earlier to 53.257 billion reais. * Pensions drove spending growth, helped by backlog reduction efforts and a payment calendar effect. By Marcela Ayres.
New contracts span global monetary policy decisions and U.S. natural gas storage reports Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), one of the world's leading providers of financial market technology and data powering global capital markets, today announced the planned launch of its first economic indicator futures contracts tied to global monetary policy decisions and US natural gas storage reports.
* Bullion on track for a fourth consecutive monthly loss. * Iran, US agree to halt attacks and renew talks. * US ADP employment report and NFP data due this week. By Sumit Saha. Gold fell on Monday as recent hostilities in the Middle East fueled inflation concerns and added to expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Canada's economy might have "rebounded modestly" in the monthly gross domestic product release for April due out on Tuesday as the week's key data point, BMO Capital Markets said in a note. "After successive quarterly declines, the economy likely rebounded slightly in Q2," Senior Economist Sal Guatieri said in the note.
The U.S. economy and the U.S. stock market are starting to go their own ways. An eventful June featuring the launch of the record-busting SpaceX IPO and Federal Reserve chief Kevin Warsh's first meeting has been full of contradictions. U.S. economic data has been solid, led by continued job gains and?strong consumer spending, while sentiment is ticking up.
* US Supreme Court expected to rule on whether Fed Governor Cook keeps her board seat. * Legal case is key to future presidential influence over Fed. * Warsh to join ECB, BOE and Bank of Canada leaders at conference in Portugal. By Howard Schneider.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's early leadership of the U.S. central bank faces a fresh test this week, with an appearance before a high-profile economic conference in Portugal coming just two days after the Supreme Court blocked President Donald Trump's effort to fire a Fed policymaker.
US equity investors will focus this week on the performance of Big-Tech shares amid nonfarm payrolls, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech, and crude oil prices.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
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