PRECIOUS-Gold falls as Mideast tensions fuel inflation fears, Fed rate-hike bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 07:56 AM EDT

* Bullion on track for a fourth consecutive monthly loss

* Iran, US agree to halt attacks and renew talks

* US ADP employment report and NFP data due this week (Updates price as of 1142 GMT)

By Sumit Saha

June 29 (Reuters) - Gold fell on Monday as recent hostilities in the Middle East fueled inflation concerns and added to expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes. Spot gold was down 1.3% at $4,035.79 per ounce, as of 1142 GMT. U.S. gold futures for August delivery fell 1.1% to $4,050.02/oz.

Bullion posted a 1.7% weekly decline on Friday and is on course to fall more than 10% in June, which would mark its fourth straight month of losses. Iran and the United States agreed to halt recent hostilities in the Gulf and renew talks regarding their dispute over the Strait of Hormuz, a U.S. official said on Sunday. Iran launched missiles and drones at U.S. military sites in Kuwait and Bahrain early on Sunday, shortly after President Donald Trump threatened that the Islamic Republic would cease to exist if it did not honor an agreement to end the war. "Gold prices are under pressure as investors remain uncertain about the progress of U.S.-Iran peace talks," said ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista, adding that renewed flare-ups could lift energy prices, revive inflation concerns and reinforce hawkish central bank expectations.

Crude oil prices were higher on the day.

While gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, its appeal tends to diminish in a high-interest-rate environment as it offers no yield. Markets are pricing in three Fed rate hikes this year, with about a 61% chance of a rate hike in September, CME's FedWatch tool showed. Investors now await June's ADP employment data and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, for further clues on the Fed's monetary policy stance.

"A stronger-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls reading later this week could reinforce expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, creating the conditions for a sustained break below $4,000," said Evangelista. Among other metals, spot silver fell 2.3% to $57.82 per ounce, while platinum fell 1.6% to $1,588.01 and palladium rose 0.3% to $1,212.61. (Reporting by Sumit Saha in Bengaluru; Editing Harikrishnan Nair, Tasim Zahid and Diti Pujara)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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