PRECIOUS-Gold under pressure near 7-month low as Fed rate-hike bets boost dollar

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 01:55 AM EDT

(Updates prices as of 0526 GMT)

* Gold trades below key $4,000/oz level

* Gold ETFs could see fresh outflows on rising Fed hike bets, analysts say

* U.S. PCE data due at 1230 GMT

* Silver, platinum linger near seven-month low

By Pablo Sinha

June 25 (Reuters) - Gold extended losses on Thursday, after falling to a more than seven-month low a day earlier, as the dollar continued to gain on rising bets of U.S. rate hikes this year. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $3,993.33 per ounce, as of 0526 GMT. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were steady at $4,008.30.

Bullion fell below the $4,000 level for the first time since November 2025 on Wednesday, and is down 29% from a record high of $5,594.82 reached on January 29.

"Gold is simply in a bearish momentum trade at this point amid a strong U.S. dollar environment," said Matt Simpson, a senior analyst at StoneX. High U.S. inflation, fuelled by the Iran war, and a hawkish Fed have contributed to expectations of a rate hike.

Traders expect three Fed rate hikes this year and are pricing in about a 67% chance of a September increase, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Bullion-backed exchange-traded funds could face renewed outflows if expectations rise for rate hikes, analysts say.

While gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, it loses its appeal as a non-yielding asset in a high-interest-rate environment.

The dollar held firm near a 13-month high, making gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

Investors now await the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures data, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, due later in the day, for further cues on monetary policy. They also monitored the Middle East as Lebanon and Israel discussed a U.S.-backed proposal for Israeli forces to transfer some of the Lebanese territorycaptured in their war with Hezbollah to Lebanon's military. Spot silver fell 0.1% to $57.37 per ounce and platinum lost 0.8% to $1,566.25, both hovering near their lowest levels since November 2025. Palladium inched 0.4% higher to $1,171.25but was near a nine-month low. (Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Harikrishnan Nair)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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