Bank of Canada Seen Leaning Dovish Later Wednesday, Says ING

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 06:19 AM EDT

06:19 AM EDT, 06/10/2026 (MT Newswires) -- ING said it expects the Bank of Canada to lean dovish when it announces its policy decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday.

Canada is in a technical recession as trade and stalled investment weigh on the economy, writes the bank in a note to clients.

Uncertainty around USMCA trade deal renegotiations in July is weighing on sentiment and news that the province of Alberta wants to gain independence with an initial referendum in October isn't helping, stated ING.

Unlike many central banks being on the front foot against energy-driven inflation, most expect the BoC to be in no rush to tighten slightly expansionary monetary policy, added ING.

The bank doubts that expectations for the first BoC hike, currently priced for December, will move much after Wednesday's policy update.

This leaves the Canadian dollar (CAD or loonie) as a laggard in the G10 space, according to ING. Depending on what happens with the United States consumer price index later Wednesday, USD/CAD could be pressing strong resistance in the 1.3970/4000 area.

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