Euro zone yields at multi-week highs as traders price in three ECB hikes in 2026

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 03:06 AM EDT

June 8 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields climbed to multi-week highs on Monday as traders came close to fully pricing in three European Central Bank rate hikes by year-end amid fading hopes for a swift reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday that new strikes by Israel and Iran would not affect his administration's peace talks with Tehran.

A reopening of the Strait of Hormuz would ease energy supply constraints, lowering inflation pressures while reducing expectations of monetary tightening and pulling bond yields lower.

Germany's two-year yields, more sensitive to expectations for policy rates, rose 3 basis points to 2.72%, their highest since May 20. They reached 2.771% in late March, the highest since July 2024.

Investors are also bracing for the European Central Bank policy meeting later this week, where a 25-basis-point rate increase is widely anticipated.

Money markets are pricing the ECB deposit rate at 2.73% by December, from the current 2%. They also indicate a more than 90% chance of a first rate rise this month, followed by a second in September.

Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the euro zone benchmark, was up 2.5 bps at 3.06%, its highest since May 22. It reached 3.20% on May 19, its highest since June 2011.

Italy's 10-year yields rose 4.5 bps to 3.85%, with the premium over German bunds at 76 bps. (Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo. Editing by Mark Potter)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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