CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar edges lower as GDP miss clips rate hike prospects

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12:29 PM EDT

* Loonie weakens 0.1% against the U.S. dollar

* GDP falls 0.1% annualized in first quarter

* Price of oil decreases 1.6%

* Bond yields ease across steeper curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, May 29 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar edged lower against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as domestic data that showed the economy slipping into a surprise technical recession offset the prospect of an imminent deal to extend the ceasefire in the Middle East.

The loonie was trading 0.1% lower at 1.3790 per U.S. dollar, or 72.52 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3771 to 1.3829.

On Thursday, the currency hit a six-week intraday low of 1.3869. For the week, it was up 0.2%.

Canadian gross domestic product declined at an annualized rate of 0.1% in the first quarter after a downwardly revised contraction of 1% in the fourth quarter of last year, as trade uncertainty weighed on business investment. Analysts and the Bank of Canada had forecast first-quarter growth of 1.5%.

"The weak GDP read for Canada is a concern and is shifting rate expectations," said Amo Sahota, a director at Klarity FX in San Francisco. "The July USMCA renegotiation is also fast approaching and clearly weighing on commitment for CAD positioning."

Investors were pricing in one interest rate hike by the Bank of Canada this year, down from two that were expected before recent cooler-than-expected inflation data.

The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which has shielded much of Canada's exports from U.S. tariffs, is set for review by a July 1 deadline. U.S. President Donald Trump said he would make a final decision on Friday over a deal with Iran to extend their ceasefire that would need to include opening the Strait of Hormuz and dismantling Tehran's capacity to make a nuclear weapon. The U.S. dollar extended its weekly decline against a basket of major currencies, while Wall Street's major indexes added to their recent gains and the price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, was trading 1.6% lower at $87.50 a barrel.

Canadian bond yields moved lower across a steeper curve. The 10-year was down 2.5 basis points at 3.411% after earlier touching the lowest since April 8 at 3.399%. (Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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