PRECIOUS-Gold hits two-month low as war-driven inflation fuels rate-hike bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02:27 PM EDT

(Updates after market close)

* Fed's Kashkari calls for focus on inflation risk

* Investors focusing on key US data due later this week

* BofA says gold rally could boost silver above $100 per ounce again

By Anjana Anil and Anmol Choubey

May 27 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell to a two-month low on Wednesday, pressured by expectations of tighter monetary policy to fend off rising inflation, with no clear end in sight to the U.S.-backed war with Iran. Spot gold was down 1.3% at $4,447.71 per ounce as of 2:08 p.m. EDT (1808 GMT), after falling to its lowest level since March 27 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures for June delivery settled 1.2% lower at$4,448.40.

"The biggest influence continues to be the Middle East. There was some lingering optimism, but as this continues to drag out, that optimism wanes," said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals, adding that the ongoing conflict was heightening inflation concerns. Bullion has been under pressure since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has prompted a surge in Brent crude prices, fanning inflation woes and propelling expectations of rate hikes.

Tehran will restore shipping through the strait to pre-war levels within a month in a framework deal with the U.S. that also includes the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iran's vicinity, Iranian state television reported on Wednesday. Gold prices briefly pared some losses after this report.

However, the market still sees energy-driven inflation prompting the U.S. Federal Reserve to hike its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points by the end of this year. Despite being an inflation hedge, non-yielding gold struggles in high rate environments.

Separately, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said the U.S. central bank must focus on containing inflationary risks that appear to be building, though it was "far too soon" to predict when it could change its current policy rate. Investors await the release on Thursday of U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures data for clues on the monetary policy path.

Spot silver fell 3.2% to $74.46 per ounce.

"While a rally in gold could once again boost silver above $100/oz in the coming months, we do not see silver outpacing on a sustained basis due to easing fundamental demand," Bank of America wrote in a note on Tuesday. Platinum slid 2.1% to $1,916.90 and palladium was up 0.1% at $1,386.47.

(Reporting by Anjana Anil and Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; Editing by Nick Zieminski and Paul Simao)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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