XRP steadies near $1.38 as Bollinger squeeze hints at breakout
BY Coindesk | ECONOMIC | 03/12/26 01:15 AM EDTXRP traded quietly near $1.38 as volatility compressed across crypto markets, as geopolitical unease in the Middle East showing no signs of slowing down.
News Background
- XRP has entered a period of consolidation as broader crypto markets adopt a cautious tone ahead of key macroeconomic data.
- While price action has been subdued, activity on the XRP Ledger remains elevated. Daily transactions recently climbed above 2.7 million, one of the highest levels in months.
- Institutional positioning has also continued to evolve. XRP-linked investment products have accumulated roughly $1.4 billion in assets since their launch, suggesting longer-term capital remains engaged even as short-term trading momentum slows.
- Meanwhile, Ripple, the blockchain firm closely associated with XRP, has begun a $750 million share buyback that would value the company at about $50 billion, according to a person familiar with the matter.
- The move comes after a $500 million funding round at a $40 billion valuation in November, backed by major hedge funds and crypto investment firms.
Price Action Summary
- XRP slipped slightly from $1.3818 to $1.3787
- The token traded within a relatively tight 2.5% intraday range
- A midday surge briefly pushed price to around $1.41 before rejection
- Support near $1.37 held through several tests late in the session
Technical Analysis
- The most significant move during the session occurred when XRP briefly rallied toward $1.41 on elevated volume before sellers pushed the token back into consolidation. That rejection reinforced the $1.40?$1.41 area as a near-term resistance zone.
- Despite the pullback, buyers repeatedly defended the $1.37?$1.373 region, forming a sequence of higher lows on shorter timeframes. This behavior suggests dip demand remains active even as momentum fades.
- Volatility indicators are now compressing. Bollinger Bands on the daily chart have tightened noticeably, a pattern that often precedes a larger directional move once liquidity returns.
- The current structure leaves XRP trading between resistance near $1.40 and support closer to $1.35?$1.37, creating a tightening range that may resolve soon.
What traders say is next?
- Market participants are focused on whether XRP can maintain support above the $1.35?$1.37 area.
- Holding this zone could allow the token to continue consolidating before another attempt to reclaim the $1.40?$1.42 resistance band.
- A break below $1.35 would weaken the current structure and could expose deeper support around $1.30?$1.32, while a breakout above $1.42 would signal a potential momentum shift toward the mid-$1.40s and higher.
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