Traders see fading chance of July Fed rate cut

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 06/24/25 08:48 AM EDT

June 24 (Reuters) - Traders of short-term interest-rate futures on Tuesday priced in a smaller chance of a July Federal Reserve interest-rate cut after Fed Chair Jerome Powell used his prepared remarks to Congress to repeat that the central bank is well-positioned to wait for more clarity before adjusting short-term borrowing costs.

Futures contract prices now reflect only about a 16% chance of a July Fed rate cut, down from about 23% earlier. Traders continue to expect a Fed rate cut in September, with a second rate cut expected in October or, more likely, in December. (Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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