Canada's key release this week is the Q1 real gross domestic product on Friday, said Bank of Montreal. Q1 GDP looks to rebound 1.5% annualized after contracting modestly in Q4, noted the bank.
Canadian financial markets seemingly "exhaled" a bit last week, "catalyzed" by constructive developments for the inflation backdrop, said TD. One important trigger was messaging that a United States-Iran deal may be in its final stages, noted the bank. The other major catalyst was an April inflation report that was soft at its core. Markets were braced for a "3-handle" on inflation last month.
Canada will release gross domestic product data for Q1 on Friday, said RBC. Canada's economy likely returned to growth in Q1 with GDP bouncing back by an annualized 1.7% after declining 0.6% in Q4, supported by improving domestic growth drivers, noted the bank.
* Oil prices fall below $100 a barrel. * Dollar eases as investors move out of the safe-haven currency. * US markets closed for Memorial Day holiday. By Noel John. Gold rose more than 1% on Monday as hopes of a peace deal to end the Iran war sent the dollar and oil prices lower, easing fears of inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates.
Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was a handy foil for President Donald Trump, a target of blame for everything from high mortgage interest rates to the pace of economic growth. But with new Chair Kevin Warsh now installed as the country's central bank chief - completing Trump's imprimatur across the top echelon of U.S. economic policymaking posts - the dynamic shifts.
Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was a handy foil for President Donald Trump, a target of blame for everything from high mortgage interest rates to the pace of economic growth. But with new Chair Kevin Warsh now installed as the country's central bank chief - completing Trump's imprimatur across the top echelon of U.S. economic policymaking posts - the dynamic shifts.
Euro zone government bond yields fell on Monday as renewed hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz eased concerns over inflation and reduced expectations of aggressive central bank policy tightening. Borrowing costs tracked moves in oil prices, which slid 5% amid optimism over a resolution of the conflict, even as key sticking points remained unresolved.
Euro zone government bond yields fell on Monday as renewed hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz eased concerns over inflation and reduced expectations of aggressive central bank rate rises.
* U.S. blockade on Hormuz to stay until agreement with Iran: Trump. * Oil prices fall to two-week low. * Kevin Warsh sworn in as U.S. Fed Chair. By Pablo Sinha. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, as optimism for a breakthrough in U.S.-Iran peace negotiations weakened the dollar and eased oil prices, which softened the inflation outlook.
* U.S. blockade on Hormuz to stay until agreement with Iran: Trump. * Oil prices fall to two-week low. * Kevin Warsh sworn in as U.S. Fed Chair. By Pablo Sinha. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, supported by a weaker dollar and easing oil prices, as investors weighed prospects of a breakthrough in U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. Spot gold was up 1.1% at $4,559.29 per ounce, as of 0359 GMT.
Gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, supported by a weaker dollar and lower oil prices, as investors weighed prospects of a breakthrough in U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. FUNDAMENTALS. * Spot gold rose 1.4% to $4,570.88 per ounce by 0045 GMT. * The dollar fell, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.
* PCE inflation gauge due on Thursday. * Salesforce (CRM), Costco, Best Buy (BBY) among reports due as robust Q1 comes to end. * Bond market selloff in view as Treasury yields hit milestones. By Lewis Krauskopf.
Bangladesh's central bank on Saturday announced a 600 billion taka stimulus package to revive shuttered factories and support businesses as economic growth slows.
* European stocks end at highest in over a month. * Dollar holds higher; oil prices settle up. * Dow posts record closing high for second day. By Caroline Valetkevitch and Stefano Rebaudo. Major stock indexes rose and Treasury yields eased on Friday as investors weighed the likelihood of a near-term deal to end the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.
Shorter-dated U.S. Treasury yields shot up on Friday as investors digested data pointing to all-time low U.S. consumer sentiment in May. The two-year Treasury note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, was last up 4.4 basis points at 4.123%. Five-year Treasury yields were up 1.3 bps at 4.255%, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treas...
The U.S. Federal Reserve on Friday said Kevin Warsh had taken the oath of office as chairman and member of the Board of Governors, and that its interest-rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee had unanimously selected him as its chairman. Warsh earlier on Friday was sworn into office at the White House by President Donald Trump.
A pair of U.S. banking regulators have signed off on plans submitted by the nation's largest banks detailing how they could be safely unwound in bankruptcy. The Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation did not identify any shortcomings in the so-called "living wills" of the nation's 8 largest banks and 56 foreign banking organizations.
* US stocks higher. * European stocks end at highest in over a month. * Dollar holds higher; oil prices settle up. By Caroline Valetkevitch and Stefano Rebaudo. Major stock indexes rose and Treasury yields eased on Friday as investors weighed the likelihood of a near-term deal to end the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran. Oil prices gained as much uncertainty surrounding the Iran talks remained.
* PC makers Dell, HP surge after Lenovo (LNVGF) reports revenue jump. * Est?e Lauder climbs after ending merger talks with Puig. * Kevin Warsh sworn in as Fed chair. * S&P 500 eyes 8th weekly gain, longest streak since December 2023. * Indexes up: Dow 0.86%, S&P 500 0.62%, Nasdaq 0.50% By Chibuike Oguh, Shashwat Chauhan and Medha Singh.
President Donald Trump told the room he wants Kevin Warsh ?totally independent? as he swore him in as Federal Reserve chairman Friday, then spent the next hour arguing the economy can boom without inflation. The price data has other ideas.
Newly Sworn-In Fed Chair Kevin Warsh was sworn in, saying that he intends to be reform-oriented and abandoning old models that were not serving the Fed's mission. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested that the Fed's policy rate could remain on hold for some time, indicating that the risks are tilting back toward inflation.
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for May was revised lower to a record low 44.8 from the preliminary estimate of 48.2 and was well below April's reading of 49.8. Michigan said that inflation expectations increased in May, lifting cost-of-living concerns. The Kansas City Fed's services index rose to 10 in May from 3 in April.
Kevin Warsh took charge of the Federal Reserve on Friday, replacing former Chair Jerome Powell amid growing signs of division at the central bank as inflation heats up. Warsh, who served as a governor on the Fed's board from 2006 to 2011, is US President Donald Trump's pick to lead the institution.
Kevin Warsh was sworn in as chair of the US Federal Reserve in a ceremony at the White House, multiple media outlets reported Friday. Warsh returns to the Fed after serving as a board member from 2006 to 2011, according to the reports.
* US stocks higher in late morning. * European stocks also higher. * Dollar holds near six-week high. By Caroline Valetkevitch and Stefano Rebaudo. Major stock indexes rose and Treasury yields eased on Friday as investors weighed the likelihood of a near-term deal to end the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran. Oil prices gained as much uncertainty surrounding the Iran talks remained.
US consumer sentiment declined to a fresh record low in May as people fear that high gasoline prices could erode their purchasing power, University of Michigan said Friday. The main sentiment index tumbled 10% to 44.8 from last month.
* Warsh pledges to lead 'reform-oriented' Fed. * Trump promises 'full support' of administration. * Warsh facing pressure from markets, colleagues, over rate decisions. * Fed's Waller ready to axe 'easing bias' * Warsh unanimously selected by Fed's policy-setting panel as its chair. By Howard Schneider and Ann Saphir.
* FTSE 100 up 0.22%, FTSE 250 rises 0.96% * Data prompts traders to reassess rate hike bets. * Political uncertainty remains in focus. UK's blue-chip FTSE 100 index ended a four-week losing streak after data released this week weakened expectations of a Bank of England rate hike, giving relief to investors unsettled by political uncertainty.
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday at a swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh that increases in the stock market mean investors like the incoming Fed Chair.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday said that he wanted incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to be "totally independent" in his new role. "Don't look at me, don't look at anybody, just do your own thing and do a great job," Trump said at a swearing-in ceremony at the White House.
European stock markets closed higher Friday as the Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.7%, Germany's DAX 40 climbed 1.2%, the FTSE 100 gained 0.2%, and France's CAC 40 and the Swiss Market Index each advanced 0.4%. Semiconductor stocks rallied on the continent as Infineon rose 8% in Frankfurt, STMicroelectronics gained 4.7% in Paris, and ASML increased 4.5% in Amsterdam.
* PC makers Dell, HP surge after Lenovo (LNVGF) reports revenue jump. * Est?e Lauder climbs after ending merger talks with Puig. * Kevin Warsh to be sworn in as Fed chair later in the day. * S&P 500 eyes eighth weekly gain, best streak since December 2023. * Indexes up: Dow 0.82%, S&P 500 0.65%, Nasdaq 0.67% By Shashwat Chauhan and Medha Singh.
National Bank of Canada on Friday reiterated its outperform rating on the shares of Osisko Development (OSDVF) with a C$8.00 price target as it came off restriction after the miner priced a US$275.0 million notes offering.
* Gold falls 1% * US consumer sentiment plunges to record low. By Ishaan Arora. Gold fell on Friday and was headed for its second straight weekly loss, pulled lower by a stronger dollar and rising oil prices that kept inflation concerns in focus and increased bets for a U.S. interest rate hike. Spot gold was down 0.9% at $4,502.59 per ounce, by 1457 GMT, after falling 1% earlier in the session.
U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said it would be "crazy" for the Fed to contemplate rate cuts in the near future, with inflation stuck above target and the job market seeming more stable than it did earlier in the year. "It's just kind of crazy to say you could start talking about rate cuts in the near future," Waller said.
Amex Exploration (AMXEF) is now off restriction at National Bank of Canada after the company closed a C$59 million private placement, the bank said Thursday. The bank gave Amex an outperform rating and C$6.50 price target.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to a record low in May as surging gasoline prices linked to the Iran war intensified affordability concerns, highlighting broader dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump's handling of the economy. The University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers on Friday showed sentiment among Republicans and Independents dropped to the lowest level of Trump's second term.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, an influential voice in policymaking who until recently had advocated for lower interest rates, on Friday said the Fed should axe the "easing bias" from its policy statement and effectively open the door to a possible rate hike.
State-level data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday showed the unemployment rate fell in three states in April, rose in two and held steady elsewhere. The largest unemployment rate decline was in Ohio, where it fell by 0.2 percentage point, while the unemployment rate rose by 0.2 percentage point in Connecticut.
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index was revised downward Friday to a reading of 44.8 for May from 48.2 in the preliminary estimate, compared with expectation for no revision in a survey compiled by Bloomberg. That was a decrease from the final reading of 49.8 in April.
NEW YORK, May 22, 2026 The Conference Board Leading Economic Index? for the US rose slightly by 0.1% in April 2026 to 97.4, following a 0.6% decline in March.
* UBS Global Wealth lifts S&P 500 2026 target to 7,900 from 7,500 pts. * Est?e Lauder jumps after ending merger talks with Puig. * Kevin Warsh to be sworn in as Fed chair later in the day. * Indexes up: Dow 0.6%, S&P 500 0.7%, Nasdaq 0.7% By Shashwat Chauhan and Medha Singh.
Inflation may be grabbing the headlines, but some bond investors are already looking beyond the next Consumer Price Index report. A less-discussed risk is beginning to emerge in the Treasury market: supply.
Statistics Canada's flash estimate pointed to an increase of 0.6% in retail sales for April, which in light of a 0.7% rise in goods prices over the month implies that volumes fell slightly, noted Oskar Stone over at Desjardins following the release of the latest retail sales data.
* U.S. dollar holds near six-week high. * CME FedWatch predicts 58% chance of at least one U.S. rate hike this year. * Trump to swear in Warsh as Fed chair later in the day. * Price volatility subdues Indian demand. By Ishaan Arora.
The inflation effect was expected in March and is going to carry through to April with the CPI showing goods prices rising a cumulative 1.8% through these two months, noted TD Economics following the release of the latest Canadian retail sales data. "The sinking volumes figures suggest consumers are already cutting back, as higher energy prices eat into budgets," the bank said.
Mexican consumer prices fell 0.16% in the first half of May, national statistics agency INEGI said on Friday, broadly in line with expectations of a 0.15% drop in a Reuters poll of economists. * Annual inflation 4.11%, after 4.53% last month, vs economists' expectations of 4.13% * Analysts had said seasonal electricity subsidies in some states would drive prices down.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
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