Market expectations for next year's Federal Reserve policy have quietly shifted in recent weeks, and the tone has grown noticeably more dovish. Investors now anticipate roughly two and a half rate cuts in 2026, according to the CME FedWatch tool, a mix that essentially means two cuts are fully baked in, while a third is hovering with meaningful probability.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse argues the bearish mood around Bitcoin is temporary and completely out of sync with the structural tailwinds supporting the market. What Happened: Speaking at Binance Blockchain Week 2025, Garlinghouse said the U.S., which accounts for over one-fifth of global GDP, is undergoing a historic shift from anti-crypto hostility to pro-crypto regulation.
Carvana Co (CVNA) shares are trading higher on Wednesday as stocks across sectors gain on growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at next week's policy meeting.
Bank of America Global Research expects the global economy to enter 2026 with more momentum than investors anticipate, calling for stronger U.S. and China growth, continued AI-driven investment, and a shift in market leadership. After a strong 2025 across U.S. and international markets, investors are questioning how much fuel remains in the rally.
The crucial U.S. services sector maintained its expansion in November, according to two key survey reports, reinforcing the economy's surprising resilience in the fourth quarter. However, the data also highlighted lingering inflationary pressures and a softening labor market, setting a complex backdrop for Federal Reserve policy.
U.S. private employers unexpectedly cut jobs in November, signaling fresh weakness in the labor market and reinforcing expectations for another Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Private payrolls fell by 32,000, according to ADP's National Employment Report released Wednesday. ADP said job creation has been flat through the second half of 2025, while pay growth continues to cool.
Kevin Hassett has emerged as the leading candidate to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, signaling a potential shift toward sharply easier monetary policy next year.
American consumers are seriously depressed, even as key economic data looks solid. The disconnect is stark and runs through every major sentiment survey. The downturn in U.S. consumer sentiment, as captured by the Conference Board and University of Michigan Survey Research Center, may look worrying ? but the broader economic data suggest Americans are, on paper, better off than ever.
The stock market staged a powerful comeback during the shortened holiday week, as expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the Dec. 10 meeting soared, fueling broad-based gains across sectors. The rally was ignited by a notable shift in tone from Federal Reserve officials.
While Airbnb Inc CEO Brian Chesky may rank among the world's richest people, that status took a bit of a beating recently. Specifically, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs have realigned their interest rate outlooks, with the financial giants now forecasting the Federal Reserve will deliver a quarter-point cut after its Dec. 9-10 meeting.
Kevin Hassett has emerged as the clear frontrunner to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair next May, a shift that could reshape U.S. monetary policy and affect global markets, particularly if Hassett brings a more dovish stance as expected.
JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs have realigned their interest rate outlooks, now forecasting that the Federal Reserve will deliver a quarter-point cut after its Dec. 9-10 meeting. JP Morgan, reversing its earlier prediction of a pause until January, cited recent comments from central bank officials as the primary driver for the shift.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.
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