PRECIOUS-Gold set for worst quarterly loss in 13 years on hawkish Fed stance

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10:08 AM EDT

* Spot gold hit lowest level since November earlier in the session

* Uncertainty over Qatar diplomacy clouds prospects for US-Iran deal

* US ADP employment and payrolls data due later this week (Updates for U.S morning open)

By Sukanya Mitra

June 30 (Reuters) - Gold eased on Tuesday and was on track for its sharpest quarterly decline in 13 years, as inflation concerns stemming from the Middle East conflict reinforced expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve could hike interest rates.

Spot gold dropped 0.2% to $4,008.94 per ounce by 08:59 a.m. ET (1258 GMT) after hitting its lowest level since November earlier. Prices slid 11.3% in June so far.

U.S gold futures dipped -0.4% to $4,022.70 per ounce.

The precious metal was headed for its first quarterly decline since 2024 and its steepest since the June quarter of 2013, when the Gulf conflict stoked inflation concerns.

Although gold is typically seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates tend to weigh on the non-yielding metal.

"The markets are a little uneasy about how stable the MOU is and there's pressure on gold because people are not seeing much light at the end of the tunnel," Marex analyst Edward Meir, said.

Top U.S. envoys who have arrived in Doha will not hold a high-level meeting with Iran, a Qatari official said, casting doubt on the progress of efforts to bring a lasting halt to the Iran war.

The U.S. inflation readings remain stubbornly high and well above the Fed's 2% target. Markets expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates elevated for a prolonged period and may even consider further rate hikes," Meir said, noting that these expectations were weighing on gold prices.

Traders are pricing in about a 65% chance of an interest rate hike in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Investors are now eyeing the ADP employment data due on Wednesday and the U.S nonfarm payrolls data due on Thursday to further gauge the Fed's monetary policy stance.

Meanwhile, an OMFIF survey showed central banks are more likely to cut U.S. dollar exposure over the next decade due to heightened geopolitical concerns, while increasing gold holdings in the near term.

Among other metals, spot silver slid 0.8% to $58.2585 per ounce and headed for its worst quarterly drop since the first quarter of 2020.

Platinum dropped 0.7% to $1,564.34 and palladium rose 0.2% to $1,215.94. Both metals were on track to log monthly and quarterly declines.

(Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Louise Heavens)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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