National House Prices Reach New High in Slow Motion, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report
BY Business Wire | ECONOMIC | 09:00 AM EDT?House prices set a new peak, despite muted annual appreciation, as limited supply continues to provide upward pressure on home values, says Chief Economist Mark Fleming?
SANTA ANA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation
May1 National House Price Index
First American Data & Analytics? National Non-Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) HPI |
|
Metric |
Change in HPI |
April 2026-May 2026 (month over month) |
0.3 percent |
May 2025-May 2026 (year over year) |
0.7 percent |
Highlights
- Annual house price appreciation remained below 1 percent for the ninth consecutive month in May.
- House price growth reported in last month?s HPI for March 2026 to April 2026 was revised up by +0.3 percentage point, from +0.2 percent to +0.5 percent.
"National house prices are making history in slow motion," said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. "While annual house price growth remains below 1 percent, the price level reached a new historical peak this month. Unlike the pandemic-era housing boom, when double-digit appreciation quickly pushed prices higher, today's record reflects the cumulative effect of small monthly gains rather than rapid price acceleration. Although inventory continues to increase compared with a year ago, the pace of inventory growth nationally has moderated, and supply remains below pre-pandemic norms, limiting both upward and downward pressure on prices."
May 2026 Local Market Price Tier Highlights
The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.
"Housing market divergence is not just a regional story?it's also a story of market segments," said Fleming. "While many local markets continue to navigate affordability challenges, overall, the luxury tier has remained more resilient than the starter and mid-tier segments. Years of house price appreciation and stock market gains have boosted wealth for many higher-income households, while accumulated housing equity has enhanced purchasing power for existing homeowners. Those dynamics have helped sustain demand and price growth at the upper end of the market, even as elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on other market segments."
May 2026 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights2
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Starter Tier HPI |
|||
CBSA |
Change in Starter Tier HPI |
Change in Mid-Tier HPI |
Change in Luxury Tier HPI |
St. Louis |
+8.6 percent |
-1.5 percent |
+3.6 percent |
Chicago |
+4.8 percent |
+4.4 percent |
+5.5 percent |
Pittsburgh |
+3.3 percent |
+3.5 percent |
+0.5 percent |
Dallas |
+3.1 percent |
+1.3 percent |
+9.2 percent |
Atlanta |
+2.0 percent |
+2.3 percent |
+3.3 percent |
Additional May 2026 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI |
|
CBSA |
Change in HPI |
Chicago |
+6.2 percent |
Pittsburgh |
+2.6 percent |
Cambridge, Mass. |
+1.9 percent |
New Brunswick, N.J. |
+1.7 percent |
Anaheim, Calif. |
+1.6 percent |
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decrease in HPI |
|
Denver |
-2.5 percent |
Orlando, Fla. |
-2.2 percent |
Las Vegas |
-2.1 percent |
Tampa, Fla. |
-2.0 percent |
Oakland, Calif. |
-1.7 percent |
HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here.
Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics.
Next Release
The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of July 20, 2026.
May 2026 First American Data & Analytics House Price Index: Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What did the First American Data & Analytics Home Price Index report for May 2026?
A: The First American Data & Analytics Home Price Index (HPI) found that national house prices increased 0.3 percent from April 2026 to May 2026 and were up 0.7 percent compared with May 2025. Despite modest annual appreciation, the national house price level reached a new historical peak in May 2026.
Q: Why are home prices reaching record highs if annual price growth is near zero?
A: According to First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming, today's record-high home prices are the result of cumulative monthly gains, rather than rapid appreciation. Unlike the pandemic housing boom, when double-digit annual price growth quickly pushed prices higher, current price increases have occurred gradually over time.
Q: What is keeping home prices elevated in 2026?
A: Limited housing supply continues to support upward pressure on home values. Although inventory levels have increased compared with a year ago, the pace of inventory growth has slowed and remains below pre-pandemic levels nationally, helping keep house prices near record highs.
Q: Which housing market segment is performing the strongest?
A: The luxury housing segment has generally shown greater resilience than starter and mid-tier homes. Higher-income households have benefited from stock market gains, accumulated housing equity, and greater financial flexibility, which has helped sustain demand for higher-priced homes, despite elevated mortgage rates.
Q: Which metropolitan areas posted the strongest house price growth in May 2026?
A: Among the metropolitan areas tracked by the First American Data & Analytics HPI, Chicago recorded the strongest annual house price growth at 6.2 percent, followed by Pittsburgh (2.6 percent), Cambridge, Mass. (1.9 percent), New Brunswick, N.J. (1.7 percent), and Anaheim, Calif. (1.6 percent).
Q: Which housing markets saw the largest house price declines in May?
A: Among major metropolitan areas, Denver (-2.5 percent), Orlando, Fla. (-2.2 percent), Las Vegas (-2.1 percent), Tampa, Fla. (-2.0 percent), and Oakland, Calif. (-1.7 percent) recorded year-over-year house price declines in May 2026.
Q: What is the First American Data & Analytics HPI?
A: The First American Data & Analytics HPI measures changes in single-family home prices across the United States using a repeat-sales methodology. It tracks price movements at the national, state, and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes starter, mid-tier, and luxury price segments.
Q: How does First American define starter, mid-tier, and luxury homes?
A: The First American Data & Analytics HPI groups home sales into three tiers based on local market sales prices. Starter-tier homes represent the lower third of the local price distribution, mid-tier homes represent the middle third, and luxury homes represent the upper third.
Q: How current is the First American Data & Analytics HPI data?
A: The HPI tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time, making it one of the timeliest measures of U.S. home price trends available.
Q: Who produces the First American Data & Analytics HPI?
A: The HPI is produced by First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation
Q: When will the next HPI report be released?
A: The next First American Data & Analytics Home Price Index report is scheduled for release during the week of July 20, 2026.
First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology
The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.
The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included.
Disclaimer
Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American?s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American?s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. ? 2026 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution.
About First American Data & Analytics
First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation
About First American
First American Financial Corporation
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1 |
The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available. |
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2 |
New York is not included in this month?s release due to data latency issues. |
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Source: First American Data & Analytics
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