Oil Falls, US Dollar Weakens as Commerzbank Says Investors Head to Treasuries

BY MT Newswires | TREASURY | 06:16 AM EDT

06:16 AM EDT, 06/26/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Treasuries extended their rally after the New York close and throughout Asian trading as investors sought the safety of government bonds amid a renewed technology-led selloff, according to a note from Commerzbank.

Oil prices have retreated even as tensions in the Middle East persist, reflecting a market that is more focused on the outlook for global demand than on potential supply disruptions. Brent oil was back to less than US$74 a barrel, said Commerzbank.

A cargo ship near Oman was struck by an unidentified projectile. Reports suggested Iran may have been involved, although the White House cautioned that it's too early to say who's responsible, the bank said.

The US dollar weakened in "volatile" trading, according to Commerzbank. Japan's Nikkei shed more than 4.5%.

Federal Reserve officials are holding a cautious tone, with New York's John Williams saying monetary policy is "well positioned" to return inflation to the Fed's 2% target, though inflation remains "unquestionably elevated." Chicago's Austan Goolsbee pointed out the inflation report "wasn't all negative."

In Asia, Tokyo's consumer price index came in stronger than expected on the headline measure, while core inflation was in line with expectations.

In Europe, Germany's federal and state governments reached agreement on fiscal reforms to help ease the financial burden on municipalities, Commerzbank added.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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