Bessent applauds reduction in Fed guidance, says 'dot plot' should be abandoned

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 08:18 AM EDT

WASHINGTON, June 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Wednesday applauded Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's plan to reduce forward rate guidance, but said Fed policy makers need to keep an open mind on the inflation impact of the Iran conflict and productivity gains driven by artificial intelligence models.

Bessent, in an interview with CNBC, also backed Warsh's decision not to submit an interest-rate path projection -- known as the "dot plot" -- as part of quarterly economic projections.

"I don't think anyone should do dot projections. The only reason I ever liked the dots was when I had my investment business, we had a trading model that actually traded against the dots, because the dots are always wrong," Bessent said. (Reporting by Susan Heavey and David Lawder)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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