CEE MARKETS-Forint firms as investors eye EU funds

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 05:06 AM EDT
          WARSAW, May 27 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint
 firmed on Wednesday after the country's central bank
left rates on hold and as investors looked ahead to a potential
deal on releasing European Union funds.
    The forint has been Central Europe's best-performing
currency this year due to investor optimism that the new
centre-right government of Prime Minister Peter Magyar can get
the cash released. It was frozen due to a dispute over
democratic standards under the previous administration.
    On Saturday, Magyar said negotiations related to the funds
were "progressing well" and he was planning to sign a deal in
Brussels on Thursday to release them.
    On Tuesday, Hungary's central bank left its base rate
unchanged at 6.25%, as expected, following a rise in global
energy prices and domestic fiscal risks, but noted a significant
improvement in the inflation outlook amid strong gains in the
forint.
    The forint was 0.34% firmer against the euro at 355.30 at
0839 GMT.
    "In our view, a persistent easing of risks, stabilisation of
the forint and yields at a favourable level could lead to a 25bp
interest rate cut in June, followed by one or two further cuts,"
ING said in a note.
    "Although the market has room to price in more cuts at the
front of the curve, we do not think the June rate cut alone will
pose much of a threat to the forint and we remain bullish on FX
despite the dovish turn ... the EU funds story also continues
and we should see more details this Thursday."
    Other currencies were mixed, with the Polish zloty
down 0.11% at 4.24 and the Czech crown down 0.05% at
24.277, while the Romanian leu was 0.11% firmer at
5.2355.
    Benchmark 10-year Polish bond yields were 3 basis points
lower at 5.749% ahead of an auction at which the finance
ministry was expected to sell bonds worth 7 billion to 11
billion zlotys ($1.92 billion to 3.02 billion).
    "After yields stalled near significant resistance levels
last week, we expect little change, with limited room for a
continuation of yesterday's downward trend during today's
session," Bank Millennium said in a note.

 CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT  1039 CET


 CURRENCIES        Latest  Previou  Daily   Change
                   trade   s close  change  in 2026

 Czech    0
 Hungary  00        0       %
 Polish   Romania  %
 Serbian  00        0       %
 Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET







 STOCKS            Latest  Previou  Daily   Change
                           s close  change  in 2026

 Prague            2573.8  2583.73  -0.38%   -4.16%
                        8       00
 Budapes           131407  130916.   +0.38   +18.35
 t                    .96       32       %        %
 Warsaw   9                %        %
 Buchare           30705.  30702.7   +0.01   +25.64
 st                    02        7       %        %





 BONDS             Yield   Yield    Spread  Daily
                   (bid)   change   vs      change
                                    Bund    in
                                            spread


 Czech    ps
 2-year
 Czech    ps
 5-year
 Czech    ps
 10-year

 Poland   ps
 Poland   ps
 Poland   ps









 FORWARD RATE      3x6     6x9      9x12    3M
 AGREEMENTS                                 interba
                                            nk
 Czech    Poland   Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices




    ($1 = 3.6395 zlotys)


 (Reporting by Alan Charlish in Warsaw, Krisztina Than and Anita
Komuves in Budapest; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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