Mexico analysts see slightly higher inflation, lower growth in 2026

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11:17 AM EDT
          MEXICO CITY, May 4 (Reuters) - Private sector analysts polled by Mexico's central bank slightly raised their forecast for headline inflation this year, while trimming their economic growth estimate, the bank said on Monday.
    They now expect annual headline inflation of 4.38%, up from 4.21% previously. For 2026, analysts see gross domestic product growth growing just 1.38%, a slight downgrade from last month's forecast of 1.49%.
    Analysts see the Bank of Mexico making one more 25 basis point cut to the country's benchmark interest rate through the end of next year.
                            March               April
 Inflation, end year
 pct
 2026                        4.21               4.38
 2027                        3.80               3.80
 Core inflation, end
 year
 2026                        4.20               4.19
 2027                        3.75               3.80
 Economic growth,
 annual pct
 2026                        1.49               1.38
 2027                        1.82               1.88
 Peso-dollar rate, end
 yr
 2026                       18.10               18.00
 2027                       18.60               18.51
 Interbank lending
 rate
 2026                        6.50               6.50
 2027                        6.50               6.50
    The survey of 43 analysts was taken between April 20-28. The values shown are medians.

(Reporting by Brendan O'Boyle; Editing by I?igo Alexander )

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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