Sterling up vs dollar, tumbles against yen as markets shrug off BoE

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 08:41 AM EDT

By Stefano Rebaudo

April 30 (Reuters) - The pound gained versus a weaker dollar as the Bank of England left rates unchanged and maintained a cautious, wait-and-see approach to the fallout from the Middle East conflict.

The BoEset out scenarios for the economic impact of the Iran war, one of which could require a "forceful" increase in borrowing costs.

The pound was last 0.2% higher against the dollar GBP= at $1.3503, and roughly unchanged against the euro at 86.63 pence EURGBP=.

Sterling dropped sharply versus the yen, which rose more than 2% against the dollar after an intervention warning by the Bank of Japan to support the Japanese currency. Sterling was last down 2.1% versus the yen at 211.51.

The Monetary Policy Committee's nine members voted 8-1 to keep the BoE's benchmark Bank Rate at 3.75%, with only Chief Economist Huw Pill seeking a hike to 4.0% now, in line with expectations in a Reuters poll of economists.

Some analysts flagged that a 9-0 outcome would have been a dovish surprise.

"A period of watchful waiting is underway at the Bank of England as the MPC continues to grapple with the impact of the Iran conflict on the UK economy," said Jessica Hinds, director in Fitch Ratings' Economics team.

"All in all, the BoE continues to strike a balancing act between tackling inflation persistence and supporting growth and the labour market, especially as wage growth is slowing," she added.

Faced with deep uncertainty about the duration of the war and the extent of the economic damage it will cause, the BoE on Thursday scrapped its usual practice of publishing a central forecast for inflation and other key economic indicators.

"With some slack emerging in the labour market and growth likely to weaken if disruption drags on, we doubt the Bank will tighten unless economic activity stays strong enough to absorb it," said David Rees, head of global economics at Schroders.

(reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; Editing by Kate Mayberry and Gareth Jones)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article