Euro zone bonds steady as focus shifts to this week's ECB meeting

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 04/27/26 03:44 AM EDT

LONDON, April 27 (Reuters) - Euro zone bonds held steady in early trading on Monday with no major weekend developments in the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran to react to ahead of this week's European Central Bank meeting.

While policymakers are expected to keep rates steady on Thursday, investors will be closely watching their statement and President Christine Lagarde's press conference for any expectations for the euro zone economy and what policy response might be appropriate.

Markets currently see roughly a 20% chance that the ECB hikes rates by 25 basis points this week, around a 75% chance they do so by their June meeting and expect at least one such move and potentially two by their July meeting.

Before the war, markets thought the ECB would be on hold throughout this year, but traders dramatically reassessed those expectations in March, betting policymakers would feel obliged to raise rates to prevent higher energy costs spilling over into inflation more broadly.

The Monday ECB pricing was roughly in the same place as it was on Friday, as were bonds.

Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, was up a whisker at 3.01% and its two-year yield was a fraction lower at 2.55%.

Other countries' bonds were moving in line with the benchmark and Italy's 10-year yield was flat at 3.81%. (Reporting by Alun John; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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