Japanese government bonds fall as investors await BOJ rate hike hints

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 04/26/26 10:44 PM EDT

TOKYO, April 27 (Reuters) - Japanese government bonds slid on Monday as investors awaited signals from the central bank on the timing of its next interest rate increase.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose 1.5 basis points (bps) to 2.450%, creeping higher for a fourth straight session. The two-year yield, the one most sensitive to Bank of Japan policy rates, increased 0.5 bp to 1.355%. Yields move inversely to bond prices.

The BOJ is expected to keep its key rate steady at 0.75% at the end of its two-day meeting on Tuesday. That puts the focus on the central bank's quarterly outlook and what Governor Kazuo Ueda may say about how the Middle East conflict, now in its second month, will impact its policy course.

"Attention is particularly focused on how strongly Governor Ueda will hint at the possibility of a rate hike at the June meeting," Keisuke Tsuruta, a senior bond strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, said in a note.

"This could alter the market's expectations for the policy rate path and potentially affect the government bond yield curve."

The 20-year JGB yield climbed 2.5 bps to 3.320%. The five-year yield rose 1 bp to 1.840%.

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on Monday she did not see an immediate need to compile a supplementary budget to cushion the economic blow from the Middle East conflict. (Reporting by Rocky Swift in Tokyo; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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