PRECIOUS-Gold gains on revived rate cut bets as Iran peace hopes calm inflation fears

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09:48 AM EDT

(Updates for U.S. morning hours)

* Iran says nuclear issues unresolved

* Traders see 36% chance of a US rate cut this year

* Economic growth will be slower this quarter amid war, US Treasury chief says

By Ashitha Shivaprasad

April 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices moved higher on Thursday as hopes for a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran helped ease inflation concerns and improved prospects for lower interest rates.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $4,816.14 per ounce as of 9:00 a.m. ET (1300 GMT), after hitting a one-month high in the previous session. U.S. gold futures gained 0.3% to $4,838.10.

As war tensions continue to de-escalate, inflationary pressures have eased, increasing the prospects of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year and supporting demand for the non-yielding metal, said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures. Optimism grew that the Iran war may be near an end, with a key Pakistani mediator having made a breakthrough on "sticky issues", a source said, although Iran warned the fate of its nuclear program had not been resolved.

Gold prices initially fell when the U.S. and Israel launched the war on Iran in late February, with liquidity pressures and inflation concerns as energy prices soared prompting markets to dial back expectations of interest rate cuts. As a zero-yielding asset, gold tends to lose appeal when interest rates are high.

Currently, traders see a 36% chance of a U.S. interest rate cut this year. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the economy will be slower this quarter amid the Iran war, but it is in good shape and will rebound, adding that oil prices do not appear to be weighing on inflation expectations. Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.3% to $79.27 per ounce. The silver market is heading for a sixth year of structural deficit, with 762 million troy ounces drawn from stocks since 2021, raising the risk of a renewed liquidity squeeze despite weaker demand expectations, the Silver Institute and consultancy Metals Focus said on Wednesday.

Platinum added 0.9% to $2,129.55 and palladium was up 0.3% at $1,578.06. (Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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