PRECIOUS-Gold gains on softer dollar as US-Iran peace deal hopes rise

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 01:20 AM EDT

(Updates prices, adds details as of 0455 GMT)

* US optimistic about deal with Iran

* Dollar, US Treasury yields ease

* Traders see 29% chance of US rate cut in December

By Noel John

April 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose on Thursday, supported by a weaker dollar and lower U.S. Treasury yields, as investors grew optimistic about a potential end to the Middle East war, which has stoked fears of higher inflation.

Spot gold rose 0.9% to $4,830.82 per ounce by 0455 GMT. U.S. gold futures for June delivery gained 0.6% to $4,853.40.

The U.S. dollar fell to its lowest level in six weeks, making greenback-denominated commodities, including bullion, more affordable for holders of other currencies.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields eased 0.1%, as hopes of a U.S.-Iran peace deal eased higher-for-longer U.S. interest rate bets. "The primary driver (for gold) is the optimism about a U.S.-Iran ceasefire that is pushing down longer-term bond yields globally and that kind of created a lower opportunity cost of holding gold and silver," said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst at OANDA.

"If we start to see a break above $4,900, further potential upside cannot be ruled out towards the next intermediate resistance zone, which is at the psychological level of $5,000."

Optimism grew that the war may be near an end, with a key Pakistani mediator in Tehran and the President Donald Trump administration talking up hopes for a deal that would open the crucial Strait of Hormuz.

On the other hand, Israel's cabinet met on Wednesday to discuss a possible ceasefire in neighbouring Lebanon, a senior Israeli official said, more than six weeks into its war with Iran-backed Hezbollah.

Spot gold prices have fallen more than 8% since the Iran war began in late February amid concerns that elevated energy prices could feed into inflation and keep global interest rates higher.

While gold is considered a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates weigh on the non-yielding metal's demand.

In the U.S., traders now see a 29% chance of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut this year. Before the war, there were expectations of two reductions for this year.

Among other metals, spot silver rose 2% to $80.61 per ounce, platinum gained 1.6% to $2,143.08, and palladium was up 1.4% at $1,592.84. (Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Harikrishnan Nair)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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