Banks show trading strength, caution on economic risk
BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 04/14/26 11:08 AM EDT* Trading revenues surge at major banks amid market
volatility, with Citi and JPMorgan
* Bank executives, including JPMorgan's
* Despite risks, consumer spending remains resilient, executives say
April 14 (Reuters) - Wall Street banks reported booming
trading revenues after a volatile first quarter but sounded
caution about the ripple impact of higher oil and geopolitical
risk on clients.
Market volatility tends to be a boon for trading desks at large
banks, as investors increasingly rejig their portfolios to hedge
against risks. Earnings reports from Wells Fargo's
"The performance of the quarter is a function of a high
level of client engagement, volatile market conditions and
success in managing the associated risks," JPMorgan's
"Generally, I would caution people against projecting
forward the outperformance in this quarter, because I think
conditions were unique," said Barnum. "But in the grand scheme
of things, we feel good about the franchise, that there are some
pockets of very durable revenue."
Citi reported its highest quarterly revenue in a decade, boosted
by market volatility during the first quarter which increased
its total markets revenue by 19% over a year earlier, with fees
from equity markets up 39% in the quarter, helped by growth
across derivatives, prime services and cash equities. Prime
balances in the markets division jumped more than 50%, the firm
said. Revenue in fixed income trading was up 13% over a year
earlier, rates and currencies revenue rose 6% and other fixed
income rose 27%, driven by strong performance in commodities.
JPMorgan Chase JPM.N posted a better-than-expected 13% jump in
first-quarter profit as volatile markets lifted trading revenue
to a record and dealmaking improved. JPMorgan's
Wells Fargo's
Goldman Sachs GS.N on Monday also showed strength in equities trading. The bank's equities trading business had a record quarter, with revenue from trading intermediation and financing rising 27%. But the U.S. investment bank also showed weakness in its fixed income, currencies and commodities division.
Worries about the impact of artificial intelligence on software companies and the uncertain outcome of the Iran war have rattled global financial markets in the first quarter, triggering repeated bouts of selloffs that kept trading desks busy.
Market jitters intensified in March with the outbreak of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. Concerns over oil supply disruptions from a blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries one-fifth of global oil, stoked stagflation fears. Fears around artificial intelligence disrupting software companies and private credit worries unnerved investors.
CAUTION ON ECONOMIC RISK, CONSUMER RESILIENCE
Banks noted caution about economic risks even as they said consumers and households were resilient, with JPM CEO Jamie Dimon warning of mounting global economic risks.
"There is an increasingly complex set of risks - such as geopolitical tensions and wars ... While we cannot predict how these risks and uncertainties will ultimately play out, they are significant and they reinforce why we prepare the firm for a wide range of environments," Dimon said in a statement.
He said while labor markets have softened, conditions do not appear to be worsening and consumers continue to spend.
"The U.S. economy has remained resilient," Dimon said.
JPM's CFO said consumer spending growth was continuing above last year's pace.
Wells Fargo
"Overall spend continues to be quite resilient and quite strong. We're not seeing the overall spend level trends change really with any significance," Santomassimo told reporters.
Volatility and concerns stemming from the Iran conflict could also impact M&A and IPOs. Citi's Chief Financial Officer Gonzalo Lucchetti said if the conflict remains in place for a very long time, it could impact the second half-year pipeline, but he said it was still a "very active pipeline at this point."
(Saeed Azhar and Tatiana Bautzer in New York, Manya Saini, Arasu Kannagi Basil and Prakhar Srivastava in Bengaluru, Nivedita Balu in Toronto; Additional reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Editing by Megan Davies and Nick Zieminski)
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