GLOBAL MARKETS-Equities rise slightly while oil dips as US and Iran weigh next steps

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 04/06/26 11:32 AM EDT

(Updates prices after US stock market opening)

* US, Iran weigh peace framework as Trump threatens Iran infrastructure attacks

* Crude oil trading choppy, WTI still above $110

* US Treasury yields little changed while dollar dips

By Sin?ad Carew and Gregor Stuart Hunter

NEW YORK/ SINGAPORE, April 6 (Reuters) - Equities rose modestly while oil prices edged lower in a choppy session on Monday as investors awaited signs of a possible resolution to the Middle East war, as the U.S. and Iran weighed the framework of a plan to end their conflict.

Markets were closed in many countries for the Easter Monday and Tomb Sweeping Day holidays.But earlier in the day, investors had perked up after Axios reported that the U.S., Iran and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war, citing four U.S., Israeli and regional sources with knowledge of the talks. But Iran rejected a ceasefire and emphasized the necessity of a permanent end to the war in a response sent via Pakistan, the official IRNA news agency said on Monday. U.S. President Donald Trump warned of "hell" for Iran and, in an expletive-laden Easter Sunday social media post, threatened to target Iran's power plants and bridges on Tuesday unless it reopens the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of global energy traffic passes.

"The market is on edge over this ultimatum and waiting for what comes next. Until we have some kind of concrete agreement it's hard to be fully committed to investing," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. "I liken it to going in about chest deep in the water. You're not fully committed but more than halfway." On Wall Street, at 10:52 a.m. ET (1452 GMT) the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 73.57 points, or 0.13%, to 46,564.03, the S&P 500 rose 11.72 points, or 0.18%, to 6,594.44 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 57.35 points, or 0.24%, to 21,932.08.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 1.94 points, or 0.20%, to 996.14.

In energy markets, U.S. crude fell 0.56% to $110.92 a barrel and Brent fell to $108.74 per barrel, down 0.27% on the day.

U.S. stocks briefly pared some gains on Monday after Institute for Supply Management data showed that the U.S. services sector growth slowed in March, while prices paid by businesses for inputs climbed to near a 3-1/2-year high, an early sign that the prolonged war with Iran was boosting inflation pressures. In currencies, the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.37% to 99.89, with the euro up 0.33% at $1.1553.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.09% to 159.7. The yen had flirted with the crucial 160 per dollar level after Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama on Friday put currency traders on notice, saying the government stands ready to act against speculative moves in foreign exchange markets as volatility has risen "significantly."

U.S. Treasuries were little changed on Monday, with investors caught between optimism over reports of a ceasefire plan and unease over Trump's threat to escalate strikes on Iran.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 1.3 basis points to 4.333%, from 4.346% late on Friday while the 30-year bond yield fell 1.6 basis points to 4.8897%.

The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, was flat at 3.852%, from 3.852% late on Friday. On Friday, while Wall Street markets were closed for the Good Friday holiday, the U.S. jobs report showed that employment growth rebounded more than expected in March, with a 178,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls representing the biggest increase in more than a year. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% from 4.4%, as people dropped out of the workforce. The data complicates the picture for the Federal Reserve, which will next decide on monetary policy at a two-day meeting ending on April 29. However, traders are not pricing in any rate cuts from the U.S. central bank until October 2027, according to the CME Group's Fedwatch tool.

Citing uncertainty around inflation and heightened geopolitical risks tied to the Middle East war, Wells Fargo Investment Institute said on Monday that it no longer expects a Fed rate cut in 2026 compared with its previous forecast for two cuts this year.

In precious metals, gold was little changed while silver dipped as market participants cautiously awaited further signals on the evolving U.S.-Iran situation and its impact on global interest rates.

Spot gold rose 0.1% to $4,680.29 an ounce and spot silver fell 0.37% to $72.71 an ounce. (Reporting by Sin?ad Carew, Gregor Stuart Hunter; Editing by Lincoln Feast, Shri Navaratnam and Keith Weir)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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