Japan 2-year bond yield rises to nearly 30-year high on rising inflation pressure

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 03/25/26 10:51 PM EDT

By Rocky Swift

TOKYO, March 26 (Reuters) - The yield on Japan's two-year government bond rose to a nearly three-decade high on Thursday, as the protracted Middle East crisis added to inflationary pressures and reinforced the need for accelerated interest rate hikes by the central bank.

The two-year yield, which is most sensitive to Bank of Japan rates, rose 1.5 basis points to 1.32%, the highest since May 1996, based on Japan Bond Trading Co. data.

The yield on the five-year Japanese government bond added 2 bps to 1.735%.

Yields move inversely to bond prices.

Japan's economy remains highly exposed to spikes in crude oil prices due to its heavy reliance on imported energy. Higher oil costs feed into inflation, eroding the real value of fixed bond payments and adding pressure on the central bank to tighten monetary policy.

A key gauge of Japan's service-sector inflation rose 2.7% in February from a year earlier, data showed on Thursday, reinforcing the BOJ's view that a tight labour market is prompting firms to pass on rising costs to consumers.

Minutes of the BOJ's January meeting released on Wednesday showed many BOJ policymakers saw the need for further rate hikes.

Markets are now pricing in 61% possibility of a 25 bps rate hike to 1.00% at the bank's April meeting, per LSEG data.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose 2 bps to 2.270%.

The 20-year JGB yield climbed 0.5 bps to 3.110%. The 30-year yield was flat at 3.505%. The yield on the 40-year JGB, Japan's longest tenor, rose 1 bps to 3.73%. (Reporting by Rocky Swift and Satoshi Sugiyama; Editing by Sumana Nandy)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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