US STOCKS-Wall St set to open lower as Middle East turmoil clouds Fed outlook
BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09:15 AM EDT* Futures off: Dow 0.27%, S&P 500 0.30%, Nasdaq 0.40%
* Trump mulls Kharg Island takeover, report says
* S&P 500, Dow on track for fourth-straight weekly loss
* FedEx
By Johann M Cherian and Utkarsh Hathi
March 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes were set to open lower on Friday as the Iran war approached its fourth week, roiling energy markets and prompting investors to aggressively reprice bets on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate cuts.
The conflict in the Middle East showed no signs of easing as Iran attacked an oil refinery in Kuwait and a report said that the Trump administration is planning to occupy or blockade Iran's Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Investors also weighed major nations' efforts to ease energy supplies, as Brent prices slipped 1% to $107 a barrel.
Offering some comfort, FedEx
A flurry of central bank decisions this week along with the Fed acknowledged how the conflict had complicated policymaking. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that if oil prices stay elevated for months it would start bleeding into core inflation.
While U.S. policymakers are still penciling in at least one quarter-point interest rate cut this year, markets are less convinced. Traders have pushed their bets for a rate cut to sometime in 2027, from December 2026 earlier this month, according to LSEG-compiled data.
"Central banks adopting a wait-and-see stance is the logical thing to do," said Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone.
"However, raising the prospect of tightening policy, to counter what appears a low risk of inflation proving more prolonged, raises the likelihood that a policy mistake will be made."
At 8:57 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 127 points, or 0.27%, and S&P 500 E-minis were down 19.75 points, or 0.30%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 100.75 points, or 0.41%.
The CBOE volatility index, sometimes referred to as Wall Street's fear gauge, edged up 0.69 points to 24.75. Futures tracking the rate-sensitive Russell 2000 index slipped 0.40%.
Friday also marks the once-in-a-quarter simultaneous expiry of derivatives contracts tied to stocks, index options and futures, also known as "triple witching," which can boost trading volume and aggravate volatility.
Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow
were on track to finish their fourth-straight week in the
red, although a modest bounce-back in AI stocks such as Advanced
Micro Devices
All the three indexes also slipped below their 200-day moving average, a technical indicator reflecting long-term momentum, while the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 index briefly logged a 10% drop from all-time highs earlier this week.
Super Micro Computer
Gains have been strong in energy stocks. The S&P 500 sector index is set for its longest weekly winning streak on record with a thirteenth-straight week of gains as geopolitical events in Venezuela and the Middle East dominated much of the first quarter.
Halliburton
Amazon
(Reporting by Johann M Cherian, Utkarsh Tushar Hathi in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Maju Samuel)
Print
