Bank of Canada Dropping Earlier Guidance On Monetary Policy Of Particular Note To Nomura

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 09:29 AM EDT

09:29 AM EDT, 03/19/2026 (MT Newswires) -- The Bank of Canada as expected left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% on Wednesday, while Governor Tiff Macklem struck a broadly balanced tone at his press conference in saying the current geopolitical backdrop gave Governing Council some time to assess the impact of the Middle East conflict, notes Nomura.

Nomura notes the BoC sounded more cautious on inflation, highlighting upside risks from higher energy prices and transportation disruptions linked to closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while also noting downside risks to growth from the conflict and tighter financial conditions. And on policy, the BoC said it would look through the near-term inflation impact, but would act if price pressures began to broaden or prove persistent.

Notably, Nomura says the BoC dropped earlier guidance that policy was appropriately positioned near the lower end of neutral to support growth while keeping inflation contained. Governor Macklem offered no directional guidance on the next move, citing elevated uncertainty, it adds.

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Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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