Bank of Canada "Should Be Able To Look Through the Rise In Energy Prices For Some Time" Based On Today's CPI Data, says Desjardins

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 09:43 AM EDT

09:43 AM EDT, 03/16/2026 (MT Newswires) -- The latest inflation data reinforces the view that underlying inflation was "very weak" heading into the oil price shock and, as a result, the Bank of Canada "should be able to look through the rise in energy prices for some time", said Royce Mendes over at Desjardins on Monday.

Desjardins continues to believe that central bankers will leave rates unchanged until well into 2027. "With the economy on shaky ground at the moment, officials may want to push back against market pricing for more than one full rate hike this year," it added.

Most importantly, Mendes said, the BoC's preferred measures of inflation looked "very tame," signaling that underlying inflationary pressures were soft once again in February. He noted the average of the core median and trimmed mean metrics was up just 0.09%, leaving the three-month annualized rate decelerating to 1.0% from 1.2% in January. He also noted trimmed mean services excluding shelter rose just 0.08%, the weakest monthly increase since January 2020. That saw the three-month annualized rate of that stripped-down metric falling to just 1.8%, the slowest pace since early 2020.

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