PRECIOUS-Gold prices fall as dollar firms, US rate-cut optimism fades

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 03/09/26 02:02 AM EDT

* Dollar rises to over three-month high

* US 10-year Treasury yields hit one-month high

* Crude oil prices rise about 20%

* Iran names Khamenei's hardline son Mojtaba as new supreme leader (Updates prices for Asia mid-session trading)

By Noel John

March 9 (Reuters) - Gold fell on Monday, as a stronger U.S. dollar weighed on greenback-priced bullion, while higher energy costs fuelled inflation concerns and further dimmed the prospects for near-term reductions in interest rates.

Spot gold was down 0.8% at $5,130.94 per ounce, as of 0554 GMT, after falling more than 2% earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures for April delivery were down 0.4% at $5,138.20.

The dollar rose to a more-than-three-month high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed to a one-month high, raising the cost of holding non-yielding gold.

"Gold is on the back foot today despite the market tumult, with triple-digit oil prices boosting the dollar on inflation fears and scaled back rate-cutting expectations," said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief market analyst.

Crude oil prices surged more than 20% to above $110 per barrel as the expanding U.S.-Israeli war with Iran led some major Middle Eastern oil producers to cut supplies amid fears of prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

"Much of gold's price rise over the last 12 months was predicated on a dovish outlook for U.S. interest rates, but given the inflation risk presented by $100 per barrel oil, rate cuts are no longer a given and gold has repriced accordingly," Waterer said.

Investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, as per CME Group's FedWatch tool. The odds of a June hold, which were below 43% last week, climbed to more than 51%.

Bullion tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment as it is a non-yielding asset.

Raising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Iran on Monday named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father, Ali Khamenei, as supreme leader, signalling that hardliners remain firmly in charge.

Spot silver held its ground at $84.42 per ounce, after falling over 5% earlier in the session. Spot platinum edged 0.1% lower to $2,133.95, and palladium was down 0.9% at $1,610.

(Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Harikrishnan Nair)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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