EMERGING MARKETS-EM stocks at two-month lows as Asian market dragged down on energy concerns

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 05:08 AM EST

* Stocks drop 3.8%, FX down 0.2%

* Asian markets post significant declines on oil supply concerns

* Poland central bank rate decision awaited later in the day

* UAE bourses fall on resumption after two-day pause

* Fitch revises Indonesia's rating credit to negative from stable

By Twesha Dikshit

March 4 (Reuters) - Emerging market equities deepened their sell-off on Wednesday, with Korea's stock rout and broader declines in Asia weighing on the broader index, as the intensifying Middle East war led to concerns over energy supplies that could drive inflation higher.

Tehran has responded to the U.S.-Israeli war by attacking ships and energy facilities and forcing production stoppages from Qatar to Iraq. U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. Navy could begin escorting oil tankers through the waterway if necessary.

Asian markets faced the brunt of oil supply shock concerns due to the regions heavy reliance on imports shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been halted by Iran.

Korean stocks sank 12.1%, posting the biggest drop in its 46-year history, while the won briefly fell below a psychological barrier of the 1,500 mark.

"The sharp move in South Korean equities and ongoing weakness in the KRW this week underscores energy supply risk for manufacturing-based APAC economies," said Geoff Yu, BNY's EMEA macro strategist.

"The experience of 2022 to 2023 shows that trade surpluses and high savings buffers can be run down very quickly in the event of an energy supply shock."

The MSCI emerging markets equities index dropped 3.8% to two-month lows with EM stocks on track for the largest weekly decline since the 2008 financial crisis, if losses hold.

A corresponding currencies gauge edged down 0.2%, as the U.S. dollar regained its safe haven appeal. The index was set for its biggest weekly decline since the COVID turmoil in early 2020.

STOCKS MIXED AS REGIONAL IMPACT DIFFERS

Bourses in the Middle East were mixed with those in Qatar and Saudi Arabia recovering from recent losses. Stocks in Dubai and Abu Dhabi tumbled 4.7% and 3.4%, respectively, reopening after a two-day pause following Iran's attacks on the Gulf nation.

Emerging Europe equities regained some losses from the previous sessions, with Poland's benchmark index rising 1.7% ahead of a monetary policy decision later in the day.

The National Bank of Poland is widely expected to lower interest rates by 25 bps, but the tensions in the Middle East have interjected uncertainty that could alter the rate path.

Indexes in Romania and Greece were up 1.1% and 2%, respectively.

South African stocks edged higher with the top gold-exporter aided by a rise in the metal's prices.

The Hungarian forint was 0.6% weaker against the euro and significantly lower for the week. The Czech crown ticked lower, while other regional currencies were range bound.

The Czech central bank could have limited room for any interest rate easing after last week's Middle East developments, the bank's vice-governor Jan Frait told news website Seznam Zpravy.

Elsewhere, Asian stocks posted significant declines with those in Thailand and Taiwan falling 5.3% and 4.4%, respectively. Indonesia's blue-chip index lost 4.6% with Fitch revising the country's sovereign credit rating outlook to negative from stable.

For TOP NEWS across emerging markets

For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see

For TURKISH market report, see

For RUSSIAN market report, see (Reporting by Twesha Dikshit; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)

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