Japan's shorter-end yields rise as hawkish BOJ comments fan early rate hike bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/26/26 02:27 AM EST

(Recasts headline and paragraph 1, adds comments)

By Junko Fujita

TOKYO, Feb 26 (Reuters) - Japan's shorter-dated bond yields rose on Thursday, reversing the previous session's declines, as hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan officials stoked bets of early interest rate hikes.

The two-year JGB yield rose as much as 3 basis points (bps) to 1.245% and the five-year yield jumped as much as 4 bps to 1.620%.

The move is a stark contrast from Wednesday, when the shorter-end yields fell after the nomination of two academics seen as dovish to the central bank's board fanned bets that the BOJ would delay policy tightening.

Hajime Takata, a hawkish board member, said on Thursday that the BOJ must focus on the risk of inflation overshooting when guiding monetary policy.

His comments followed a local media report in which BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda left open the chance of a near-term interest hike by saying the bank would scrutinize data at its March and April meetings in its policy decision.

"The market reacted to those remarks and the shorter-dated bond yields rose," said Yuki Kimura, a bond strategist at Okasan Securities.

The yields on super-long ends fell after rising sharply higher in the previous session.

The 30-year yield fell 2 bps to 2.965% and the 40-year bond yield fell 3 bps to 3.605%.

The declines were supported by demand from pension funds which need to rebalance their portfolios at the end of the month, said Kimura.

The 10-year JGB yield rose 1.5 bps to 2.150%.

(Reporting by Junko Fujita; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Janane Venkatraman)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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