TREASURIES-US bonds slide again as stock rally, weak five-year note auction sap demand

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 02/25/26 03:53 PM EST

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Rising risk appetite pushes investors out of bonds

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Government, corporate bond issuance weighs on Treasury prices

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Yield curve steepens slightly as short-term yields rise

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US five-year note auction shows soft demand

(Adds new comment, five-year note auction results, updates yields)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Feb 25 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries slid for a second straight session on Wednesday, as risk appetite perked up with the rally in stocks and following lackluster demand for U.S. five-year notes at an auction.

The market also tracked equities, ?with Wall Street shares climbing and lifting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to two-week highs amid improving ?sentiment toward AI names. Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings, set for release after the close, have become the focal point even for fixed-income players seeking evidence that its profit growth is keeping pace with Big Tech's massive $630 ?billion capital spending plans for ?2026. "It looks like the traditional relationship between stocks and bonds are back," said Zachary Griffiths, head of investment grade and macro strategy at CreditSights in Charlotte, ?North Carolina.

He noted that the correlation between the U.S. 10-year yield and the S&P 500 has hit 0.72, the highest since ?the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in ?March 2023.

"The breadth of AI concerns and how it's impacting software and how it could have broader implications in other sectors seem to be having more of a correlated impact across markets relative to what we've ?grown accustomed to in the past."

Investors are again seeing bonds and stocks move ?in tandem, in part because many expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady in the near term, pushing the Fed's influence further into the background, said Chip Hughey, managing director of fixed income at Truist Wealth in Richmond, Virginia.

SOFT AUCTION

Also on Wednesday, the Treasury ?auctioned $70 billion in U.S. five-year notes to weak demand.

The auction cleared at 3.615%, ?marginally above the expected rate ?at the bid deadline, suggesting investors required a slightly higher yield to take down the note. The bid-to-cover ratio, another gauge of demand, was 2.32X, lower than the six-auction average of 2.36X.

Dealers absorbed 12.8% of the five-year note supply, the highest share since March 2025 and well above ?the 10.1% recent average. The elevated take-down indicates that primary dealers had to step in and backstop the auction, suggesting that end-user demand was softer than ?usual.

Some analysts before the sale had expected a weak auction given lower outright yields. Lower yields typically dampen investor appetite because it means that the note has become expensive.

Since the last five-year note auction in January, the yield has fallen by about 20 basis points.

Post-auction, U.S. five-year yields rose 2.3 basis points (bps) to 3.619%.

The Treasury on Wednesday also sold $69 billion in 17-week bills and $28 billion in two-year floating-rate notes. There is also ample corporate bond supply this week, analysts said, with roughly $49 billion in fresh investment grade ?debt in the first ?two days alone. More deals are expected with a forecast of about $52 billion-$57 billion bond supply this week, analysts said. That ?pulled down Treasury prices, too.

Wall Street dealers typically seek to lock in borrowing costs when underwriting corporate bonds. To hedge against interest rate fluctuations, they sell Treasuries ahead ?of the bond issuance. Once the deal is completed, they unwind the hedge by buying back Treasuries - a process known as exiting the "rate lock."

CURVE STEEPENS In afternoon trading, the benchmark 10-year yield was up 1.7 bps at 4.05%, while 30-year yields were modestly up on the day at 4.696%. On the front end of the curve, the two-year yield, which reflects rate expectations, rose 1.7 bps to 3.471%.

The yield curve steepened a touch on Wednesday, with the gap between two-year and 10-year yields rising to 57.5 bps from 56.6 bps late on Tuesday. Prior to Wednesday, the curve had flattened for 10 straight sessions, a move in which short-term yields rise relative to longer-dated Treasuries. It was the longest such stretch since November 2015.

"Since the January labor report (which showed ?an unexpected surge), we have seen Fed rate cut expectations dialed back a bit and that has contributed a little bit to the flattening with some upward pressure in short-dated yields," said Truist's Hughey. U.S. fed funds futures on Wednesday priced in about 53 bps on easing this year, compared with 56 bps late on Tuesday. That's equivalent to ?about two rate cuts of 25 bps each, an outlook that has ?been in place since the beginning of 2026. The first rate cut is not expected until July or September. (Reporting ?by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Andrei Khalip and Nick Zieminski)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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