Australia's CPI Surprise Drives Modest Gain In AUD, Higher Bond Yields, notes Scotiabank

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 02/25/26 09:15 AM EST

09:15 AM EST, 02/25/2026 (MT Newswires) -- The Australian consumer price index surprised a bit higher overnight Tuesday and drove a modest gain in the Australian dollar (AUD) and higher local bond yields, with two-year yields up about 4bps in a mild bear flattener, Scotiabank noted.

The March 17 Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision continues to be priced for a hold, but the May 5 decision is mostly priced for another 25bps hike, minimally impacted by the overnight CPI, the bank also noted.

CPI increased by 0.4% month over month and 3.8% year over year while the consensus was 3.7% consensus, pointed out the bank. Trimmed mean CPI was up by 0.3% month over month and 3.4% year over year, a tick above the prior reading and consensus.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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