PRECIOUS-Gold rises as soft US GDP report offsets hotter inflation data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/20/26 09:18 AM EST

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US economic growth slows sharply in the fourth quarter

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US PCE inflation heats up in December

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Goldman sees slowdown in central bank gold buying as temporary

(Updates for US morning session)

By Anmol Choubey

Feb 20 (Reuters) - Gold ?prices rose on Friday after U.S. gross domestic product ?data came in below expectations, even as inflation data surprised to the upside, while investors also watched ?rising geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran.

Spot gold was up ?0.8% at $5,039.42 an ounce by 09:04 a.m. (1404 GMT). U.S. ?gold futures for ?April delivery were up 1.3% at $5,060.10.

U.S. economic growth slowed sharply to a 1.4% annualized rate in Q4, ?well below economists' forecast of 3%, ?as the government shutdown and softer consumer spending hit activity.

Separately, the Personal Consumption Expenditure index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, ?rose 0.4% in December, on a month-over-month ?basis, compared ?to economists' estimate of a 0.3% rise.

"The big 'miss' on Q4 GDP and concerns over private credit thanks to Blue Owl is protecting gold ?from a core PCE reading that is the highest in almost ?a year," said Tai Wong, an independent metals trader. "The Fed might just get its popcorn and watch the early summer films from the sidelines."

Blue Owl Capital shares fell about 4% in pre-market trading after the asset manager's plan ?to ?return capital from a small debt fund unsettled investors and ?pressured rivals.

Gold, considered a safe-haven asset when there is geopolitical and economic ?uncertainty, also tends to do well when interest rates are low.

Traders still expect two 25 basis points rate cuts by Fed this year, with first expected in June.

On the geopolitical front, U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran on Thursday it must make a deal over its nuclear program or "really bad things" will happen.

Goldman Sachs said ?a recent slowdown in central bank gold buying should be temporary and expects gold to climb toward $5,400 by end-2026.

Elsewhere, spot silver gained 3.1% to $80.76 an ounce. ?Spot platinum rose 2.4% to $2,120.85, ?while palladium added 1.7% to $1,714.18. (Reporting by Anmol Choubey in ?Bengaluru. Editing by Jane Merriman)

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Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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