CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar hits 11-day low as cooler inflation boosts rate cut bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/17/26 12:19 PM EST

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Canadian dollar falls 0.2% against the greenback

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Touches its weakest since February 6 at 1.3692

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Inflation slows to 2.3% in January

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10-year yield hits a 2-1/2-month low

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Feb 17 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened against its ?U.S. counterpart on Tuesday, as the greenback ?posted broad-based gains and domestic inflation data raised prospects the Bank of Canada would resume its interest rate ?cutting campaign.

The loonie was trading 0.2% lower at 1.3655 per U.S. dollar, or ?73.23 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since ?February 6 at ?1.3692.

Canada's annual inflation rate slowed to 2.3% in January from 2.4% in the previous month as ?a big drop in gasoline prices helped cushion ?the impact of higher food and clothing prices. Analysts had expected inflation to hold steady at 2.4%.

"The Bank has made ?it abundantly clear that the bar ?to cut rates ?again is quite high, and it continues to stress that monetary policy cannot fix supply shocks," Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, ?said in a note.

"Even so, if inflation continues to decelerate, the ?Bank could be in position to support the economy should growth truly struggle as it undergoes a structural shift." Canada, seeking to cut its reliance on the U.S. arms industry, wants to dramatically increase the amount of weapons it ?buys from domestic ?firms, according to a defense strategy document.

Investors see a ?roughly 35% chance the BoC eases policy this year after the central bank ?left its benchmark rate on hold at 2.25% since October. Earlier this month, the market was leaning toward the next move being a hike. The safe-haven U.S. dollar rose against a basket of major currencies as AI-related jitters crimped risk appetite. The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, was trading 1.3% lower at $62.11 a barrel as concerns ?eased about an escalation in tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Canadian bond yields moved lower across a flatter curve. The 10-year was down 3.6 basis points ?at 3.223%, after earlier touching its ?lowest since December 1 at 3.204%. (Reporting by Fergal Smith; ?Editing by Alexandra Hudson)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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