German investor morale unexpectedly slips, modest recovery still in sight

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/17/26 07:24 AM EST

*

Economic sentiment indicator falls to 58.3, below expectations

*

Government spending boosts recovery, but challenges remain

*

Structural challenges persist, impacting industry and private investment

By Maria Martinez

BERLIN, Feb 17 (Reuters) - German investor morale fell unexpectedly in ?February from January's five-year high, but continued to point ?to a modest recovery in Europe's biggest economy that is still struggling to gain traction. The economic sentiment indicator ?fell to 58.3 points in February, the ZEW economic research institute said on ?Tuesday, while analysts polled by Reuters had expected the reading to rise ?to 65.0, from ?last month's 59.6.

Despite a 1.3-point drop from January, the survey's results still suggest that respondents remain optimistic about ?the outlook over the next six months, said ?Ankita Amajuri, an economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Last year, Germany's GDP expanded for the first time in three years as consumers and a government ?spending surge started to fuel a sluggish ?recovery.

Germany's economy ?is

expected to grow by 1% this year

, the Chamber of Industry and Commerce said on Tuesday.

HIGH HOPES ON GOVERNMENT SPENDING While economic expectations worsened, ?the assessment of the current economic situation continued to improve, rising to a seven-month ?high of minus 65.9 from minus 72.7.

"The German economy has entered a phase of recovery, albeit a fragile one," said ZEW President Achim Wambach, pointing to still considerable structural challenges, especially for industry and private investment. Export-oriented sectors showed moderate to strong ?improvements in February, ?with prospects particularly improving for the chemical and pharmaceutical industries, ?steel and metal production and mechanical engineering, reflecting better than expected incoming orders at the end ?of 2025.

Economic hopes will remain high due to planned additional government spending, said Alexander Krueger, chief economist at Hauck Aufhaeuser Lampe.

Germany's government approved a surge in public spending targeting defence and infrastructure last year, but it is taking time to feed into the economy.

"Expectations alone do not make an economy; it is the translation into production that matters," Krueger said.

The economic recovery ?also appears to be proceeding unevenly, said Ulrich Wortberg, senior economist at Helaba.

Banks and insurance, as well as the information technology industry are experiencing negative developments, the ZEW ?survey showed. (Additional reporting by Reinhard Wecker, ?Writing by Ludwig Burger and Maria Martinez, Editing by Thomas ?Seythal, Linda Pasquini and Andrei Khalip)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article