GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks up; Aussie rallies after rate hike

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/02/26 10:55 PM EST

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Jump in US factory activity soothes market jitters

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RBA hikes rates to 3.85%

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India trade deal boosts stocks, rupee

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AMD and SuperMicro report after-market in US

(Updates to Asia morning, adds RBA decision)

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Gold and Asian stocks were on the rebound on Tuesday as trade took a calmer tone after wild swings in metals markets, with the mood helped by a sharp jump in U.S. factory activity, while the Australian dollar rose after an ?interest rate hike.

Australia's central bank is the first among G10 countries to hike this cycle - besides Japan, which is on its own path - and said above-target inflation and a tight labour market ?justified a unanimous decision to lift the cash rate 25 basis points to 3.85%.

Markets had mostly anticipated the move, though it ?was enough to push the Aussie about 0.8% higher and over 70 cents.

Elsewhere Japan's Nikkei jumped 3% ?to recoup Monday losses and South ?Korea's KOSPI rose 5%. S&P 500 futures were up 0.1% with traders eyeing a busy few sessions of earnings.

Gold, silver, stocks and the dollar have all whipsawed since U.S. President ?Donald Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve sent ?metal prices tumbling.

Gold was up 3% in the Asia morning to $4,800 an ounce, a bounce of nearly 9% from Monday lows. Silver traded 5% higher to $83.34 an ounce.

Warsh is seen shrinking the Fed's balance sheet, pushing up bond ?yields, which is negative for precious metals that pay no income.

However, ?the dive in ?prices on Friday and on Monday went beyond fundamentals and was a wipeout for leveraged positions and sent tremors through global commodity and stock markets as traders sold other assets to bail out losing bets.

"(It was) a flushing out of ?leverage in the system which has built up," said Christopher Forbes, head of Asia and the Middle East at CMC Markets.

"The bigger question is really on the true pain point from the gold and silver unwind...I'm not sure everyone will have made it."

WALL STREET STEADIES

Overnight, U.S. factory activity grew for the first time in a year in January, PMI data showed, pushing up Treasury yields a little, though without changing the outlook for rate cuts.

Benchmark 10-year yields were steady at 4.275% in Tokyo, while two-year yields, which jumped four basis points ?in New York, ?held at 3.57%.

On Wall Street chipmakers and other AI companies carried the S&P 500 0.5% higher and Alphabet shares hit a record top ahead of earnings due later in the week. Disney (DIS) shares tumbled 7.4%, as it warned of a ?decline in international visitors to its U.S. theme parks and a slump in earnings at its TV and film division.

On Tuesday, chipmaker AMD and server equipment company Super Micro Computer (SMCI) are due to report after market.

Currency markets were finding a level after last week's sharp spike lower in the dollar. The euro bought $1.18 in the Asia session, off highs hit above $1.20 late in January.

The yen traded at 155.48 per dollar and has retraced about half the gains it made on the greenback that followed talk of possible joint U.S.-Japan intervention to boost the yen.

Polls show Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party heading ?for a landslide victory at the weekend's election -- putting pressure on bonds and the yen as it would hand a mandate to her agenda for fiscal loosening.

A U.S.-India trade deal announced by Trump overnight cuts tariffs in return for a halt on Indian purchases of Russian oil sent the rupee up 1.2% and was set to ?boost Indian shares. Benchmark Brent crude was pinned at $65.90 a barrel on easing U.S.-Iran tensions. (Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Sam Holmes and Stephen Coates)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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