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Morgan Stanley Previews This Week's Policy Meeting at Australias Central Bank

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 02/02/26 11:29 AM EST

11:29 AM EST, 02/02/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Morgan Stanley said it expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to hold the cash rate at 3.6% this week, against consensus expectations and market pricing of about 68% for a hike.

The RBA is slated to release its policy statement at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday.

Morgan Stanley estimates the RBA's Board to frame the decision as dependent on continued sequential slowing in demand and inflation, keeping future hikes firmly on the table.

However, the bank thinks that an extended hold is ultimately more likely.

MT Newswires does not provide investment advice. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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