Euro zone bond yields fall as ECB signals euro strength could prompt rate cuts

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 01/28/26 02:53 AM EST

Jan 28 (Reuters) - Short-end euro zone bond yields fell on Wednesday after European Central Bank policymaker Martin Kocher warned that further euro strength could force them to resume interest rate cuts.

The ?euro zone is a net energy importer, so even slight currency ?appreciations can significantly lower the price of energy and ?other imported goods, which could ?push inflation down.

Austrian central ?bank governor Kocher added that the gains so far in the ?euro were "modest" and did ?not require a response yet, but if sharper appreciation lowers inflation projections, then they may ?need to act.

Markets slightly ?added to ?bets of a rate cut by the summer. Futures imply about a 25% chance of a ?rate cut by July, from around 15% on Tuesday.

Germany's 2-year bond yield, which is sensitive to changes in ECB rate expectations, fell 2.5 basis points to 2.076%, its lowest level in a week.

Germany's ?10-year ?yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, was down 2 bps at 2.854%.

"EURUSD is nearing ?levels where we think the ECB will start to take notice," Jefferies economist Mohit Kumar said in a note on Wednesday.

The euro has strengthened sharply against the dollar in recent days, rising above $1.20 on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald ?Trump said the value of the dollar was "great". That pushed the dollar to multi-year lows against a basket of currencies, including ?the euro. (Reporting by Samuel Indyk; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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