TREASURIES-US yields mixed ahead of expected Fed rate-cut pause; investors focus on auctions

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11:17 AM EST

By Tatiana Bautzer

NEW YORK, Jan 27 (Reuters) -

U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Tuesday as investors positioned ahead of a Federal Reserve policy decision that is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, while also eyeing a five-year note auction for fresh signals ?on demand for U.S. government debt.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note was slightly up at ?4.217%, while 30-year yields rose 1.6 basis points (bps) to 4.820%.

On the short ?end of the curve, the two-year yield, which typically ?reflects interest rate ?expectations, slipped 2.8 basis points to 3.569%.

Treasuries, however, hardly reacted to data showing an unexpected drop in ?U.S. consumer confidence in January to ?its lowest level since 2014. That data did not change the market expectation that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged ?at the end of its two-day ?meeting on ?Wednesday. CME Group's FedWatch tool on Tuesday showed more than a 97% chance that the U.S. central bank would leave its benchmark interest ?rate unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range, unchanged from Monday.

The Treasury is also expected to sell $70 billion in five-year notes on Tuesday and $44 billion in seven-year notes on Thursday.

"Markets seem to be reacting to the supply this week," said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia. "We ?are ?also on waiting mode for the end of the month and watching equities for a potential rebalancing into fixed income," he added. Major ?U.S. stock indexes were largely trading higher. Investors do not seem to see a high risk of a partial shutdown of the U.S. government, LeBas said. A shutdown is being considered by Democratic U.S. senators mainly to cut funding to the Department of Homeland Security after federal immigration agents in Minneapolis shot and killed a 37-year-old ?man.

A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was at a positive ?64.0 basis points. (Reporting by Tatiana Bautzer; Editing by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Paul Simao)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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