CEE MARKETS-Forint backs off high as markets await Hungary rate cues

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 01/27/26 05:56 AM EST
          BUDAPEST, Jan 27 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint eased on Tuesday after hitting a multi-week high in the previous session, ahead of the country's central bank policy announcement that is expected to keep the base rate unchanged.
    The forint was 0.2% lower at ?382.00 versus the euro, backtracking from a six-week high of 381.05 hit on Monday.
    "This is a ?correction, the forint just firmed a bit too much yesterday," an ?FX trader in Budapest said.
A Reuters poll showed that ?the National Bank ?of Hungary was all but certain to leave its base rate steady at 6.5% on ?Tuesday, the European Union's joint-highest level, as ?strong services pricing at the end of last year tempers the case for easing.
    However, analysts also now see room ?for 75 basis points worth of ?rate easing ?by the end of 2026, 25 bps more than expected last month.
    Earlier, central bank Governor Mihaly Varga had opened the door to ?a possible rate cut after the bank's meeting in December.
    "A renewed (noticeable) re-acceleration of core HICP in the December data could make the central bank turn cautious (more hawkish) again," Commerzbank wrote in a note.
    "A more cautious, restrictive tone from Varga will be supportive of forint outperformance, while ?maintaining last ?month's dovish messaging will open up the currency to underperformance."
    The bank is scheduled to announce its rate decision at 1300 GMT. ?A statement and a press conference will follow at 1400 GMT.
    Elsewhere, the Polish zloty was a touch up, trading at 4.2045 per euro.
    The zloty's rate will be mainly influenced by the dollar, PKO Bank wrote in a note.
    Stocks in the region were mixed, with Budapest's equities up 1% and Prague's blue chip index ?0.4% higher. Warsaw's stocks rose 0.2%.

 CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT     1106 CET
 CURRENCIES        Latest  Previo  Dail  Change
                   trade   us      y     in 2026
                           close   chan
                                   ge
 Hungary     Polish      Romanian    Serbian     Note: daily change    calculated from 1800 CET

 STOCKS            Latest  Previo  Dail  Change
                           us      y     in 2026
                           close   chan
                                   ge
 Prague      0       300     4%
 Budapest    .08     .78     1%
 Warsaw      0       1       3%
 Bucharest   22      84      9%

 BONDS             Yield   Yield   Spre  Daily
                   (bid)   change  ad       chan
                                   vs    ge in
                                   Bund  spread
 Czech Rep   Czech Rep   Czech Rep   Poland      Poland      Poland      FORWARD RATE      3x6     6x9     9x12  3M
    AGREEMENTS                           interba
                                         nk
 Czech Rep   Poland      Note: FRA quotes are    for ask prices



(Reporting by ?Anita Komuves in Budapest and Pawel Florkiewicz in Warsaw; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair)

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