JGB yields rise on BOJ's rate-hike bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 01/27/26 12:29 AM EST

By Junko Fujita

TOKYO, Jan 27 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond yields rose on Tuesday as the market continued to bet on an early interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan even as the yen gained ?ground in recent sessions.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose 4 basis points (bps) to ?2.275%. The five-year JGB yield rose 2.5 bps to 1.710%.

The ?two-year yield rose 1 bp to ?1.275%.

The yen spiked ?on Friday and climbed to a more than two-month high overnight, as speculation ?grew over coordinated currency intervention ?by U.S. authorities following remarks from Japan's prime minister and a leading currency diplomat.

"The expectation for the ?central bank's interest rate ?hike did not ?recede even as the yen strengthened," said Yuki Kimura, a bond strategist at Okasan Securities.

A stronger yen tends ?to mute pressure on the BOJ to tighten the monetary policy. The weaker yen typically raises import costs, driving inflation.

Yields also rose as investors remained cautious about the outcome of the auction for 40-year bonds.

"The auction may see ?a ?weak result as there are many uncertainties, such as the election outcome and the fate of tax on ?food items," said Kimura.

Japanese political parties kicked off an election campaign on Tuesday after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi called for a national election on February 8.

The JGB yields spiked last week after Takaichi pledged to abolish sales taxes on food for two years. Other ?opposition parties also promised to halt the taxes or abolish them permanently.

The 20-year JGB yield climbed 2.5 bps to 3.19%. The 30-year yield added 3 ?bps to 3.65%.

(Reporting by Junko Fujita; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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