TREASURIES-US yields climb, poised for weekly rise as investors gauge economic strength

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11:07 AM EST

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Yields edge up, remain range-bound

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Several Fed officials due to speak on Friday

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Trump says he may keep Hassett in current role

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, Jan 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday and were on pace for a weekly advance as investors weigh recent economic data and the path of interest rates from the Federal Reserve in the near term. Yields have been choppy throughout the week and ?have remained in a tight range as markets have grappled with a revelation by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that the central bank had been threatened with a criminal ?indictment over a building renovation project, rising tensions in the Middle East and U.S. economic data on the labor ?market and inflation.

In addition, several Fed officials this week expressed a need for the central ?bank to remain cautious in ?cutting interest rates.

"The bond market's still relatively unclear as to where things go next, there's lots of uncertainty really in both directions, both towards higher and lower ?yields," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD ?Securities in New York.

"The driving force is still very much what happens to the Fed and what happens to the economy going forward, and on that, there's just an extreme lack of clarity from ?investors, so that's why we've been stuck in that very, ?very tight range ?in rates."

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose 4.3 basis points to 4.203% and was up 3.4 basis points for the week.

The yield on the 30-year bond rose 1.8 basis points to 4.804% and ?has shed 1.2 basis points on the week, putting it on track for a second straight weekly decline. Yields moved higher after President Donald Trump on Friday praised economic adviser Kevin Hassett at a White House event and said he may want to keep him in his current role, denting market expectations he would succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Fed officials expected to speak on Friday include Bank of Boston President Susan Collins, Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman and Vice Chair Philip ?Jefferson.

The two-year ?U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, rose 4.7 basis points to 3.611% after hitting a five-week high of 3.613% and is set for a second straight weekly ?gain. Economic data on Friday showed manufacturing output rose 0.2% last month after an upwardly revised 0.3% gain in November, the Federal Reserve said, topping the estimate of economists polled by Reuters calling for a decline of 0.2%. A separate report showed the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market index dropped 2 points to 37 in January, remaining below the 50 break-even point for 21 straight months as affordability concerns stymied potential buyers and rising costs dented construction activity.

A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve measuring the gap between yields ?on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was at a positive 59 basis points.

The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at 2.396%, its highest since November 10, after closing at 2.368% on Thursday.

The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at 2.317%, indicating the ?market sees inflation averaging about 2.3% a year for the next decade.

(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak in New York; Editing by Matthew Lewis)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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