National Bank Says Canada Sovereign Bonds Have Gained Back Some Ground Recently Vs. U.S. Treasuries

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 11:47 AM EST

11:47 AM EST, 01/14/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Government of Canada (GoC) bonds cheapened on a cross-market basis after the Bank of Canada suggested that the easing cycle is now in the rearview mirror, said National Bank of Canada.

The have gained back some ground recently, however, as incoming data in the United States and Canada has spilled over to performance across the curve, noted the bank.

As it stands, GoC-UST five-year resides at about -80bps, and recent momentum could persist should implied odds of Fed easing continue to be walked back, as it had begun with last Friday's nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report in the U.S.

UST five years were outperforming GoC five years by about 1bp earlier Wednesday.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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