SocGen's Overnight Economic News Summary

BY MT Newswires | TREASURY | 01/08/26 05:54 AM EST

05:54 AM EST, 01/08/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Societe Generale in its early Thursday economic news summary pointed out:

-- Brent crude defends $60/barrel, US dollar (USD) mildly bid, 10-year United States Treasury yield reverses ISM gain, declines to 4.13% on lower oil. Strong ISM skews risk to higher services payrolls (NFP) on Friday. Reserve Bank of India steps up foreign exchange intervention in the rupee (INR) for the second day.

-- Greenland: European Union ambassadors meet on Thursday in the Political and Security Committee. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio intends to discuss a U.S. acquisition of Greenland with Danish officials next week (Politico).

-- Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Hauser: prefers taking a one- to two-year view on inflation rather than reacting to monthly data. Implied odds of February rate hike fall to 27% from 39% pre-consumer price index. AUD/USD -0.4%, three-year ACGB -8.5bps to 4.067%, 10-year -9bps to 4.66%

-- Sweden's CPIF slows to 2.1% year over year in December, excluding energy, cools to 2.3%, Q4 average 2.5% or 0.08pp below Riksbank forecast.

-- Swiss CPI ticks up to 0.1% year over year in December versus 0% in November. Core up to 0.5%. Goods drop to -1.7%, services edge up to 1.2%.

-- Day ahead: U.S. weekly jobless claims, trade balance. France benchmark auction. Mexico and Chile CPI.

-- Nikkei -1.6%, EUR 10-year IRS +1.8bps at 2.88%, Brent crude +0.5% at $60.3/barrel, Gold -0.4% at $4,431/oz.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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