Japan's Nikkei gains, JGB futures rise ahead of expected BOJ rate hike

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/18/25 07:35 PM EST

TOKYO, Dec 19 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei share average advanced on Friday and Japanese government bond futures rose ahead of a Bank of Japan policy decision, with markets ?widely expecting an interest rate hike later in the day.

The ?Nikkei gained 0.6% to 49,306.95, as of ?0014 GMT, and earlier jumped as ?much as ?1%.

That followed a 1% drop in the previous session, ?when the index sank to ?a 3 1/2-week low.

The broader Topix added 0.6% to 3,376.67.

Benchmark 10-year JGB ?futures added 0.09 ?yen ?to 133.43 yen. Cash bonds had yet to trade.

The BOJ decision does not come at ?a set time, but is generally between 0330-0500 GMT. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a news conference from 0630 GMT.

A large majority of economists in a Reuters poll ?predicted the ?central bank BOJ will raise short-term interest rates to 0.75% from 0.5%, which ?would mark the first increase since January.

"Economic conditions arguably justified a hike ahead of the monetary committee's October meeting, and recent data only strengthens the case," James Brady, vice president at Teneo, said in a ?note.

"The Bank's long-sought 'virtuous cycle' of wage growth and 2% inflation now appears closer than at any point in ?decades." (Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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