National Bank Says Canadian Dollar to Benefit From BoC and Fed Monetary Divergence In 2026
BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 12/18/25 09:20 AM EST09:20 AM EST, 12/18/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The Canadian dollar is ending the year on a "strong footing", with gains broad-based across the G10: all currencies except the Swedish krona (SEK) have depreciated against the loonie, National Bank of Canada noted Thursday.
It said the recent resurgence reflects a mix of better-than-expected economic data and clearer policy follow-through from the Canadian federal government since the Nov. 4 budget.
But after nearly a decade of moving in lockstep, United States and Canadian monetary policy paths are set to diverge in 2026, "a backdrop that should remain supportive of CAD appreciation", according to National Bank.
It has a USD/CAD target of 1.32 by year-end 2026, though the path to that level is unlikely to be linear.
MT Newswires does not provide investment advice. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.
Print
